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Vatrer
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x72d8…5213 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
13
lifetime
PnL per $
-3%
historical realized
Win rate
43.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$597.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 13 resolved trades · -3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
23
Distinct markets
16
Volume (90d)
$843.8K
avg $36.7K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$843.8K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 23 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 02:19 AM | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.055 | $4,611 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 13, 12:54 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $6,360 | — |
| Jun 11, 06:35 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $1,020 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:49 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.310 | $14.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:49 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.310 | $25.4K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 05:21 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.310 | $52.7K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 04:23 PM | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY NO | 0.430 | $1,835 | — |
| Jun 5, 03:08 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.466 | $45.0K | — |
| May 29, 08:53 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY NO | 0.561 | $2,274 | — |
| May 18, 06:55 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $15.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 01:43 AM | Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16? | BUY YES | 0.490 | $30.4K | — |
| Apr 27, 11:55 PM | New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers | BUY YES | 0.410 | $33.5K | — |
| Apr 27, 11:54 PM | New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers | BUY YES | 0.410 | $50.5K | — |
| Apr 27, 11:54 PM | New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers | BUY YES | 0.410 | $92.3K | — |
| Apr 26, 11:34 PM | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY YES | 0.560 | $192.7K | — |
| Apr 24, 06:11 PM | Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | BUY YES | 0.540 | $80.1K | — |
| Apr 21, 02:04 AM | 0x62fa0893 | BUY | 0.480 | $23.9K | — |
| Apr 21, 01:56 AM | 0x62fa0893 | BUY | 0.480 | $79.1K | — |
| Apr 20, 11:55 PM | 0xe95b8b64 | BUY | 0.530 | $16.7K | — |
| Apr 20, 11:55 PM | 0x925bd5ec | BUY | 0.500 | $9,708 | — |
| Apr 20, 11:47 PM | 0xe95b8b64 | BUY | 0.530 | $15.4K | — |
| Apr 20, 11:47 PM | 0x925bd5ec | BUY | 0.500 | $30.8K | — |
| Apr 20, 10:37 PM | 0x51324625 | BUY | 0.520 | $19.6K | — |
Markets active in
16 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Other | 1 | $192.7K | +$192.7K |
| New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers | Other | 3 | $176.2K | +$176.2K |
| 0x62fa0893 | — | 2 | $103.0K | +$103.0K |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 3 | $92.7K | +$92.7K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | Other | 1 | $80.1K | +$80.1K |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 1 | $45.0K | +$45.0K |
| 0x925bd5ec | — | 2 | $40.5K | +$40.5K |
| 0xe95b8b64 | — | 2 | $32.1K | +$32.1K |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16? | Other | 1 | $30.4K | +$30.4K |
| 0x51324625 | — | 1 | $19.6K | +$19.6K |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Sports | 1 | $15.4K | +$15.4K |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 1 | $6,360 | +$6,360 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Crypto | 1 | $4,611 | +$4,611 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Sports | 1 | $2,274 | +$2,274 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Other | 1 | $1,835 | +$1,835 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $1,020 | +$1,020 |