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0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x709e…66f5 with our methodology badges per row.

0x709e8dcb133555794decc598e07f2c923b8366f5·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
66
lifetime
PnL per $
+4%
historical realized
Win rate
52.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$615.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 66 resolved trades · 4% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
109
Distinct markets
60
Volume (90d)
$1.27M
avg $11.6K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.26M / $8,830
net direction

Recent trades

last 109 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 07:09 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.330$90.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:07 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.330$40.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 04:17 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.480$1,193
Jun 12, 04:17 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.480$1,436
Jun 12, 04:16 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.480$1,958
Jun 12, 03:46 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.490$1,149
Jun 11, 07:13 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.320$1,806Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 07:03 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.320$1,853Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 06:58 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.320$5,825Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 06:58 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.320$3,343Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 05:23 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.310$1,465Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 06:34 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.500$1,707
May 30, 06:31 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.500$1,000
May 30, 06:29 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.500$3,500
May 24, 06:45 PMWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?BUY NO0.280$1,890Cheap band — no rep
May 24, 06:44 PMWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?BUY NO0.280$5,548Cheap band — no rep
May 24, 06:39 PMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY NO0.340$4,905Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 06:10 PMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY NO0.330$9,981Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 02:58 PMWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?BUY NO0.720$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:02 PMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY YES0.580$2,248
May 24, 12:21 AMWill Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.700$4,039Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 12:13 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY NO0.470$22.4K
May 18, 05:32 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.149$1,807Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 06:37 PMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.350$4,890Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 06:17 PMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.340$1,808Killed band — neutral expectation
May 13, 04:59 PMWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?BUY YES0.330$17.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 13, 04:57 PMWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?BUY NO0.550$46.4K
May 13, 04:56 PMWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?BUY NO0.740$47.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 08:06 PMWill Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?BUY YES0.330$1,056Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 08:06 PMWill Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?SELL NO0.670$2,680— (SELL)
May 12, 08:00 PMWill Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?BUY NO0.660$3,630Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 06:45 PMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?BUY NO0.380$9,880Killed band — neutral expectation
May 11, 06:43 PMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?BUY NO0.370$20.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 10, 03:59 PMWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?BUY NO0.310$23.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 10, 03:29 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY NO0.380$25.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 5, 01:38 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.600$9,000
May 5, 03:55 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.600$2,059
May 5, 03:12 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.580$3,577
May 5, 02:32 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.580$8,700
May 5, 02:20 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.580$8,712
May 3, 07:00 PMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.530$46.1K
May 3, 06:47 PMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?BUY NO0.470$2,023
May 3, 02:29 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.400$5,308Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 02:28 PMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY NO0.660$1,590Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 02:31 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.202$1,457Cheap band — no rep
May 2, 05:00 PMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY NO0.280$11.0KCheap band — no rep
May 2, 04:30 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY NO0.330$2,314Killed band — neutral expectation
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$15.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$5,211Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$5,955Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$6,699Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$2,233Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$2,977Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$3,722Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$4,466Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$5,211Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:03 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY YES0.670$5,955Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 01:57 PMWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?BUY NO0.510$20.4K
May 1, 06:52 PMWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?SELL NO0.320$6,150— (SELL)
May 1, 06:36 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.189$1,335Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 30, 06:59 PMWill SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?BUY YES0.390$5,241Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 30, 06:57 PMWill SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?BUY YES0.390$6,561Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 30, 06:56 PMWill SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?BUY YES0.380$3,856Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 29, 06:41 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?BUY NO0.580$5,379
Apr 29, 05:37 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?BUY NO0.570$19.7K
Apr 26, 06:44 PMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?BUY YES0.550$5,713
Apr 25, 02:14 PMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.410$1,050
Apr 25, 02:12 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.390$16.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 02:07 PMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.410$2,190
Apr 25, 02:06 PMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.410$1,267
Apr 25, 02:02 PMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.420$1,981
Apr 25, 01:59 PMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.410$28.6K
Apr 25, 01:59 PMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.380$20.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 24, 08:24 PMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY YES0.570$13.4K
Apr 24, 08:23 PMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY YES0.570$19.1K
Apr 22, 06:11 PMWill Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?BUY YES0.530$13.9K
Apr 21, 10:07 PM76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5BUY0.470$1,127
Apr 18, 04:21 PM0xcf88c749BUY NO0.560$5,656
Apr 11, 04:29 PM0x272251c9BUY NO0.250$17.9KCheap band — no rep
Apr 10, 10:22 PM0x8bc14cb8BUY0.620$5,945Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 06:59 PM0x1c16b60cBUY YES0.530$97.4K
Apr 8, 06:54 PM0x262fc2dfBUY NO0.760$165.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 07:01 PM0x5f5c8d8fBUY NO0.570$1,183
Apr 7, 06:58 PM0x13cb2bd4BUY YES0.340$2,898Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 12:48 AM0xd73929e5BUY0.510$1,551
Apr 5, 10:02 PM0xc9254216BUY0.610$7,928Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 07:34 PM0xda55e55eBUY0.558$2,548
Apr 5, 07:30 PM0xda55e55eBUY0.550$4,712
Apr 5, 07:25 PM0xda55e55eBUY0.540$22.0K
Apr 5, 07:20 PM0xda55e55eBUY0.530$7,604
Apr 5, 07:00 PM0x8144b9b0BUY YES0.340$3,126Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 5, 06:12 PM0x0ae2fb73BUY0.972$3,079Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 06:10 PM0x0ae2fb73BUY0.972$3,885Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 06:09 PM0x0ae2fb73BUY0.972$2,098Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 03:57 PM0xb57197cfBUY YES0.370$4,706Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 4, 11:02 PM0x8d24945cBUY0.490$1,919
Apr 4, 10:58 PM0x8d24945cBUY0.490$2,288
Apr 4, 10:58 PM0x8d24945cBUY0.490$15.6K
Apr 4, 06:37 PM0x9db56c47BUY0.530$1,886
Apr 4, 04:46 PM0xee5c40e5BUY0.520$9,636
Apr 4, 04:42 PM0x05eec7f9BUY0.480$28.6K
Apr 4, 01:22 PM0x836b6b41BUY0.570$1,460
Apr 4, 01:05 PM0xee5c40e5BUY0.490$17.4K
Apr 3, 11:45 PM0xf974c422BUY0.460$4,797
Apr 3, 10:55 PM0x8fd44217BUY0.490$5,790
Apr 3, 10:38 PM0x8fd44217BUY0.500$9,688
Apr 3, 04:58 PM0x6dd08c78BUY0.510$7,538
Apr 3, 01:55 AM0xf8f1cb66BUY0.680$9,325Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 01:49 AM0xf8f1cb66BUY0.680$7,391Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

60 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
0x262fc2df1$165.5K+$165.5K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other2$130.9K+$130.9K
0x1c16b60c1$97.4K+$97.4K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?Other11$60.0K+$60.0K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Other2$48.1K+$48.1K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?Other1$47.9K+$47.9K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?Other1$46.4K+$46.4K
0xda55e55e4$36.8K+$36.8K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?Other5$35.1K+$35.1K
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTech2$32.5K+$32.5K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports5$32.0K+$32.0K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?Other2$30.1K+$30.1K
0x05eec7f91$28.6K+$28.6K
0xee5c40e52$27.0K+$27.0K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Other1$25.6K+$25.6K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?Other2$25.1K+$25.1K
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?Other1$23.9K+$23.9K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Sports1$22.4K+$22.4K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?Other1$20.4K+$20.4K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?Other1$20.4K+$20.4K
0x8d24945c3$19.8K+$19.8K
0x272251c91$17.9K+$17.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?Other1$17.1K+$17.1K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?Other1$16.8K+$16.8K
0xf8f1cb662$16.7K+$16.7K
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?Other3$15.7K+$15.7K
0x8fd442172$15.5K+$15.5K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?Other1$15.0K+$15.0K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?Other2$14.9K+$14.9K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Other5$14.3K+$14.3K

Showing top 30 by volume.