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pikachusplace

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x6adc…beba with our methodology badges per row.

0x6adcccb0ea0b93a66e67f0d7b2b625b135a8beba·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
48
lifetime
PnL per $
-31%
historical realized
Win rate
31.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$391.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 48 resolved trades · -31% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
98
Distinct markets
34
Volume (90d)
$792.1K
avg $8,082 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$387.4K / $404.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 98 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 11:39 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.197$28.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 11:39 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.197$58.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 10:59 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.440$1,477
Jun 7, 01:00 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.460$16.1K
May 26, 01:46 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?SELL NO0.945$76.2K— (SELL)
May 24, 01:43 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.381$1,448Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 01:41 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.360$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 01:31 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.340$7,428Killed band — neutral expectation
May 2, 08:37 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY NO0.279$20.8KCheap band — no rep
Apr 27, 08:18 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY NO0.003$1,298
Apr 27, 01:32 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.952$20.6K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 10:34 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$1,770— (SELL)
Apr 26, 10:14 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$1,862— (SELL)
Apr 26, 09:45 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$1,272— (SELL)
Apr 26, 09:45 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$1,444— (SELL)
Apr 26, 06:14 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$1,449— (SELL)
Apr 26, 04:12 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$1,666— (SELL)
Apr 26, 04:11 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$2,029— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:48 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$1,062— (SELL)
Apr 26, 02:27 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$5,411— (SELL)
Apr 26, 02:11 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$3,456— (SELL)
Apr 26, 02:00 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$2,000— (SELL)
Apr 26, 12:41 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$1,011— (SELL)
Apr 26, 11:29 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$48.0K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 01:25 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.950$1,900— (SELL)
Apr 26, 12:56 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.950$11.4K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 10:24 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.950$1,900— (SELL)
Apr 25, 08:12 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.950$29.5K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 08:00 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.960$16.3K— (SELL)
Apr 21, 12:55 PM0x6c31c73aSELL YES0.062$1,615— (SELL)
Apr 21, 11:45 AMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2BUY0.270$2,036Cheap band — no rep
Apr 21, 11:45 AMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.514$4,927
Apr 21, 11:43 AMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2BUY0.260$1,296Cheap band — no rep
Apr 20, 11:08 PM0x1489bd88BUY0.430$3,746
Apr 20, 02:39 PM0x6c31c73aBUY YES0.243$1,300Cheap band — no rep
Apr 20, 02:12 PM2002698BUY YES0.392$1,533Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 20, 02:11 PM0xe5e75d13SELL0.999$17.6K— (SELL)
Apr 20, 11:26 AM0xe5e75d13BUY0.560$5,555
Apr 20, 12:06 AM0x64620821BUY0.210$4,882Cheap band — no rep
Apr 19, 06:08 PM0xf4d6599dBUY0.510$15.6K
Apr 19, 06:08 PM0xf4d6599dBUY0.490$2,363
Apr 19, 06:08 PM0xf4d6599dBUY0.470$1,722
Apr 19, 06:07 PM0xf4d6599dBUY0.470$9,841
Apr 18, 07:16 PM0x95dfb017BUY0.390$1,302Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 18, 07:16 PM0x95dfb017BUY0.384$6,579Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 18, 07:16 PM0x95dfb017BUY0.380$8,987Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 18, 06:33 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL YES0.220$9,518— (SELL)
Apr 18, 06:33 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL YES0.235$10.3K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 01:30 PM0x9c7095d2SELL0.999$18.6K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 11:45 AM0x9c7095d2BUY0.430$4,843
Apr 16, 01:47 PM0x8d84eb2eSELL0.999$14.1K— (SELL)
Apr 16, 12:09 PM0x8d84eb2eBUY0.510$7,218
Apr 13, 12:55 PM0x72126f1bBUY0.345$10.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 11, 05:53 PM0x67fdea44BUY0.300$10.0KCheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 05:05 PM0x84f00093BUY0.230$7,864Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 05:04 PM0x84f00093BUY0.220$1,583Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 05:02 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL NO0.710$19.7K— (SELL)
Apr 10, 02:55 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.720$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 12:13 PM0x496c76aaBUY0.415$9,825
Apr 10, 10:56 AM0xf43d795dBUY0.145$2,436Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 10, 10:51 AM0xf43d795dBUY0.130$2,013Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 9, 04:51 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY NO0.420$4,218
Apr 9, 01:29 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.600$1,455— (SELL)
Apr 9, 12:44 PM0xac36050bSELL0.250$2,279— (SELL)
Apr 9, 12:41 PM0xac36050bSELL0.250$1,648— (SELL)
Apr 9, 02:11 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.591$2,956— (SELL)
Apr 9, 12:16 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY NO0.590$6,071
Apr 8, 11:25 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL NO0.580$1,384— (SELL)
Apr 8, 09:29 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY NO0.520$1,215
Apr 7, 12:16 PM0x6a5a8888BUY0.520$25.6K
Apr 6, 06:14 PM0xedb952c2SELL0.999$16.6K— (SELL)
Apr 6, 03:32 PM0xedb952c2BUY0.513$6,256
Apr 6, 03:27 PM0xedb952c2BUY0.500$1,741
Apr 6, 12:57 PM0xde16cdcaSELL0.999$37.9K— (SELL)
Apr 6, 10:11 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.333$1,569Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 01:22 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL NO0.511$4,049— (SELL)
Apr 6, 12:17 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL YES0.470$4,606— (SELL)
Apr 6, 12:05 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY YES0.500$4,900
Apr 5, 05:18 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL NO0.502$1,737— (SELL)
Apr 5, 02:50 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.510$5,000
Apr 5, 01:04 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.500$4,900
Apr 5, 12:47 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.500$1,585
Apr 5, 11:58 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.500$1,960
Apr 5, 10:26 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.497$5,893
Apr 5, 01:30 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.510$4,500
Apr 5, 01:26 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL NO0.504$1,211— (SELL)
Apr 5, 01:08 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL NO0.500$1,047— (SELL)
Apr 4, 06:56 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY NO0.490$1,596
Apr 3, 11:24 AM0x4b1f403fBUY0.480$1,262
Apr 3, 01:04 AM0x833cc6faBUY0.400$1,295Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 3, 12:09 AM0x40b063d0BUY0.240$4,886Cheap band — no rep
Apr 2, 11:36 PM0x40b063d0SELL0.515$2,960— (SELL)
Apr 2, 11:31 PM0x40b063d0SELL0.460$1,699— (SELL)
Apr 2, 11:31 PM0x40b063d0BUY0.500$1,478
Mar 30, 11:58 PMOver $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY NO0.299$3,163Cheap band — no rep
Mar 30, 09:37 PMOver $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY NO0.346$1,974Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 29, 09:43 PMOver $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?SELL NO0.120$1,242— (SELL)
Mar 29, 03:39 PMOver $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY NO0.471$2,654

Markets active in

34 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics25$171.3K$-148,341
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Other2$97.0K$-55,397
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$86.9K+$86.9K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Other13$43.0K+$17.7K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Other2$39.7K+$278
0xde16cdca1$37.9K$-37,939
0xf4d6599d4$29.5K+$29.5K
0x6a5a88881$25.6K+$25.6K
0xedb952c23$24.6K$-8,619
0x9c7095d22$23.5K$-13,790
0xe5e75d132$23.2K$-12,094
0x8d84eb2e2$21.4K$-6,921
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Tech2$19.8K$-19,817
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other3$18.9K+$18.9K
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Other2$17.6K+$17.6K
0x95dfb0173$16.9K+$16.9K
0x40b063d04$11.0K+$1,705
0x72126f1b1$10.7K+$10.7K
0x67fdea441$10.0K+$10.0K
0x496c76aa1$9,825+$9,825
0x84f000932$9,447+$9,447
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Other4$9,033+$6,550
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 WinnerOther1$4,927+$4,927
0x646208211$4,882+$4,882
0xf43d795d2$4,449+$4,449
0xac36050b2$3,927$-3,927
0x1489bd881$3,746+$3,746
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Other2$3,332+$3,332
0x6c31c73a2$2,915$-315
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Other1$1,569+$1,569

Showing top 30 by volume.