oieshfn345

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x6550…8451 with our methodology badges per row.

0x65503c7f9e142ac88b1ce09df3363ff77f188451·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+13%

historical realized

Win rate

92.6%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$125.5K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

151

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$402.9K

avg $2,668 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$402.9K / $0

net direction

Recent trades

last 151 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 21, 01:53 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.900	$2,030	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:52 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.860	$1,939	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:51 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.810	$1,827	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:49 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.700	$1,579	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:49 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.680	$1,533	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:48 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.960	$1,358	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:48 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.958	$2,161	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:40 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.540	$1,542	—
Jun 21, 01:37 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.929	$1,587	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:35 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.410	$1,171	—
Jun 21, 12:48 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.917	$2,619	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:30 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.929	$2,652	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:27 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.921	$2,629	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:41 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.941	$21.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,955	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.730	$1,703	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,955	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.730	$1,719	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.820	$1,378	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.730	$1,719	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:50 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,955	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:50 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.730	$1,719	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:50 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.720	$1,696	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:49 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.820	$1,781	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:48 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.890	$2,096	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:44 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.580	$1,366	—
Jun 20, 09:42 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.670	$1,578	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:42 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.670	$1,578	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:42 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.670	$1,578	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:42 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.540	$1,272	—
Jun 20, 09:40 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.630	$1,484	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:39 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.630	$1,484	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:30 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.560	$1,319	—
Jun 20, 09:25 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.700	$1,125	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.470	$1,107	—
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.470	$1,107	—
Jun 20, 09:14 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.740	$1,743	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:13 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.570	$1,342	—
Jun 20, 09:09 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.580	$1,366	—
Jun 20, 08:51 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.700	$3,329	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:49 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.700	$2,874	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:46 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.670	$2,376	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:46 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.670	$3,186	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:46 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.670	$3,186	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:20 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.600	$2,853	—
Jun 20, 08:14 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.380	$1,047	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:03 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:01 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:00 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:00 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:00 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,791	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:08 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.940	$2,402	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:08 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.940	$2,402	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:49 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.910	$2,325	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:32 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.998	$2,099	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:18 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.980	$6,424	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:18 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.978	$6,413	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:16 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.970	$1,241	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:51 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.950	$6,227	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:35 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.920	$4,191	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:32 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.751	$2,469	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:30 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.260	$1,184	Conviction tier
Jun 13, 01:30 AM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.820	$2,259	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:30 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.740	$3,371	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:30 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.910	$4,145	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:29 AM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.810	$2,232	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:29 AM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.810	$2,232	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:09 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.780	$3,553	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:09 AM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.721	$1,945	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:09 AM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.714	$1,967	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:04 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.460	$2,095	—
Jun 13, 01:02 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.500	$2,278	—
Jun 12, 08:54 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.910	$4,145	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:53 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.960	$1,058	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:53 PM	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.820	$2,259	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:52 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.870	$3,253	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:51 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.830	$2,711	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:51 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.830	$3,781	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:50 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,629	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:46 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.900	$3,531	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:45 PM	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.630	$1,736	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:45 PM	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.630	$1,736	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:45 PM	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.630	$1,736	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:23 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.830	$2,763	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:12 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.570	$1,063	—
Jun 12, 08:11 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.240	$1,093	Conviction tier
Jun 12, 07:40 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.690	$3,143	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:38 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.300	$1,367	Conviction tier
Jun 12, 07:18 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.490	$1,742	—
Jun 12, 07:18 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.490	$1,742	—
Jun 12, 02:33 PM	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	BUY YES	0.420	$2,082	—
Jun 12, 02:33 PM	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	BUY YES	0.595	$58.7K	—
Jun 11, 08:18 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.950	$4,327	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:16 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.930	$1,486	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:16 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.930	$4,236	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:15 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.930	$4,236	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:15 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.930	$4,236	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:14 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.981	$1,169	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:17 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.850	$2,172	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:14 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.690	$1,763	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:06 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.680	$1,737	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:48 AM	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY NO	0.800	$1,004	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 04:19 AM	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	BUY YES	0.977	$2,316	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 03:16 AM	Lakers vs. Rockets	BUY YES	0.910	$1,037	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 10:54 AM	0xf69f889e	BUY	0.990	$6,278	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 08:14 AM	0x6f0cb5df	BUY	0.990	$9,080	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

22 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	68	$126.9K	+$126.9K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Other	1	$58.7K	+$58.7K
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Other	10	$35.9K	+$35.9K
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Other	7	$34.0K	+$34.0K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Other	10	$25.7K	+$25.7K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Other	8	$24.2K	+$24.2K
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Other	8	$12.3K	+$12.3K
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Other	5	$10.6K	+$10.6K
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Other	3	$9,797	+$9,797
0x6f0cb5df	—	1	$9,080	+$9,080
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Other	6	$8,337	+$8,337
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Other	4	$7,466	+$7,466
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Other	4	$7,280	+$7,280
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Crypto	3	$7,128	+$7,128
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Other	4	$6,593	+$6,593
0xf69f889e	—	1	$6,278	+$6,278
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Other	3	$5,027	+$5,027
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Other	1	$2,316	+$2,316
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Other	1	$2,082	+$2,082
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Other	1	$1,169	+$1,169
Lakers vs. Rockets	Other	1	$1,037	+$1,037
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	1	$1,004	+$1,004