| Jun 9, 11:28 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.991 | $114.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:10 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $6,337 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:16 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $243.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:03 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $11.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:03 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $11.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:03 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,107 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 06:59 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,107 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 06:57 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $5,533 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 06:57 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $3,320 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 06:57 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,107 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 06:10 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.983 | $5,602 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 05:27 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $11.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:26 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:25 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $11.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:11 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:09 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:09 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:56 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:55 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:49 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:49 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:49 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:45 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:45 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:38 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:34 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 12:57 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $257.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 06:08 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.981 | $6,094 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 06:08 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.981 | $7,509 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 07:49 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY YES | 0.966 | $5,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 03:15 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $17.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 03:15 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $16.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 03:15 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $1,816 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 03:46 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $2,260 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 02:24 AM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $20.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 02:23 AM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $11.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 02:23 AM | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $2,589 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 01:26 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $1,015 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 05:39 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $10.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:02 AM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $25.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:00 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $70.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:59 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $26.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 02:11 AM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,972 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:41 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $29.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 06:02 PM | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $4,084 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 05:57 PM | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $33.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 02:46 AM | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $27.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 01:17 AM | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $5,715 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 03:10 AM | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $1,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 04:54 PM | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $27.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 09:39 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $2.05M | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 07:14 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $998.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 07:06 AM | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $1.15M | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 11:24 PM | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.958 | $4,274 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 03:10 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $8,172 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 02:25 PM | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $218.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 02:24 PM | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.958 | $93.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 01:39 PM | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY YES | 0.987 | $6,848 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 01:15 PM | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $11.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 01:14 PM | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.965 | $10.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 01:00 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.961 | $106.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 06:14 AM | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY YES | 0.985 | $3,130 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 03:04 AM | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $25.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 05:37 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1.12M | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 05:35 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.002 | $2,000 | —— |