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bondor
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5936…0b7b with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
+0%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$213.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · 0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
8
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$487.6K
avg $60.9K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$416.3K / $71.2K
net direction
Recent trades
last 8 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 04:27 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $135.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 07:59 PM | Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $13.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 02:16 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,996 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 04:34 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $33.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 06:08 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $37.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 07:48 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $53.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 05:13 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $131.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 12:00 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $80.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Other | 1 | $135.2K | +$135.2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Other | 1 | $131.4K | +$131.4K |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | 3 | $125.1K | $-17,321 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Other | 1 | $80.4K | +$80.4K |
| Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Other | 1 | $13.5K | +$13.5K |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | Tech | 1 | $1,996 | +$1,996 |