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martingaleking
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x52f5…5e8a with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-76%
historical realized
Win rate
16.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$454.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -76% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
9
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$476.3K
avg $52.9K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$440.4K / $35.9K
net direction
Recent trades
last 9 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 03:53 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.638 | $22.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 01:58 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.543 | $27.1K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 26, 08:40 PM | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY YES | 0.697 | $34.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 08:39 PM | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | SELL YES | 0.291 | $8,739 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 26, 12:27 AM | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | BUY YES | 0.480 | $9,450 | — |
| Apr 25, 10:16 PM | Knicks vs. Hawks | BUY YES | 0.572 | $11.3K | — |
| Apr 25, 06:42 PM | Pistons vs. Magic | BUY YES | 0.729 | $24.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 01:25 AM | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY YES | 0.750 | $28.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 08:35 PM | Magic vs. Pistons | BUY YES | 0.780 | $309.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
8 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Pistons | Other | 1 | $309.9K | +$309.9K |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Tech | 2 | $42.9K | +$25.4K |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Other | 1 | $28.8K | +$28.8K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Other | 1 | $27.1K | $-27,135 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Other | 1 | $24.5K | +$24.5K |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 1 | $22.3K | +$22.3K |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Other | 1 | $11.3K | +$11.3K |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Other | 1 | $9,450 | +$9,450 |