vitamin.eth

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4f0e…8775 with our methodology badges per row.

0x4f0e8b2ebadaa5acb3c1f8b14d43608f3fd48775·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+8%

historical realized

Win rate

93.5%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$31.2K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · 8% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$74.0K

avg $3,522 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$56.7K / $17.3K

net direction

Recent trades

last 21 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 2, 08:26 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BUY NO	0.790	$3,950	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 08:19 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,056	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 08:16 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.975	$3,331	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 08:16 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.975	$1,283	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 08:11 PM	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	BUY NO	0.790	$1,580	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 12:29 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.978	$1,197	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 06:08 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	SELL NO	0.923	$2,031	— (SELL)
May 8, 04:45 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BUY NO	0.819	$1,222	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 04:45 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL NO	0.830	$1,501	— (SELL)
May 8, 04:43 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BUY NO	0.814	$7,474	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 04:43 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BUY NO	0.800	$3,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 04:42 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BUY NO	0.790	$1,444	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 04:42 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,182	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 04:41 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL NO	0.840	$12.7K	— (SELL)
May 8, 10:48 AM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BUY NO	0.730	$1,816	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 06:21 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY NO	0.800	$11.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 01:23 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY NO	0.780	$2,668	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 08:10 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,066	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 07:31 AM	0xcc079207	SELL NO	0.999	$1,075	— (SELL)
Apr 1, 07:13 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	BUY NO	0.969	$11.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 12:04 PM	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,636	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

8 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Other	5	$29.3K	+$965
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Tech	7	$18.5K	+$14.4K
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Other	1	$11.1K	+$11.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Other	4	$6,877	+$6,877
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Tech	1	$3,950	+$3,950
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	Politics	1	$1,636	+$1,636
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Other	1	$1,580	+$1,580
0xcc079207	—	1	$1,075	$-1,075