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awaiting-lifechange

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4d32…9dfc with our methodology badges per row.

0x4d32e23ab079511ab2de13d58211a99b23d39dfc·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
20
lifetime
PnL per $
+1%
historical realized
Win rate
97.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$146.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 20 resolved trades · 1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
51
Distinct markets
24
Volume (90d)
$309.5K
avg $6,068 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$239.1K / $70.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 51 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 4, 08:42 PMWorld Cup: Winless Team?BUY YES0.990$1,760Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:58 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.999$1,084Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:03 AMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.470$2,013
Jun 2, 05:42 AMWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY NO0.820$3,206Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 04:38 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY YES0.999$1,499Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 12:05 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY YES0.999$4,409Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:06 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY YES0.999$2,021Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 05:01 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY YES0.999$3,397Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:58 AMWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY NO0.999$14.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 04:31 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.818$2,156Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 04:26 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY YES0.997$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 04:21 AMWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY NO0.972$3,453Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:57 AMWill Germany win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY NO0.993$2,043Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:54 AMWill Germany win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY NO0.993$2,043Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:48 AMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?BUY NO0.300$1,489Cheap band — no rep
May 18, 02:36 AMWill Germany win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY NO0.993$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 04:40 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY YES0.996$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 08:49 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?BUY NO0.860$5,160Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 05:15 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY YES0.994$1,216Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 07:56 PMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY YES0.999$60.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 07:56 PMWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY NO0.999$1,998Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 01:23 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY YES0.995$1,588Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 08:40 PMWill Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY NO0.999$2,303Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 10:53 PMOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL YES0.720$1,552— (SELL)
Apr 29, 04:47 PMOver $10M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY YES0.810$1,440Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 04:46 PMOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY YES0.922$1,987Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 04:48 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.833$17.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 06:44 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.838$4,693Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 05:51 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.838$1,846Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 05:50 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.837$14.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 06:38 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.837$21.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 06:32 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.835$21.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 01:49 AM0xb1a0c0e3SELL0.670$19.2K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 03:06 PM0x992ff40fSELL YES0.080$2,710— (SELL)
Apr 11, 11:03 PM0xdd09a683SELL0.590$1,001— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:58 PM0xdd09a683SELL0.612$4,908— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:57 PM0xdd09a683SELL0.620$2,744— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:57 PM0xdd09a683SELL0.621$2,948— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:56 PM0xdd09a683SELL0.622$3,110— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:54 PM0xdd09a683SELL0.621$3,183— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:53 PM0xdd09a683SELL0.620$3,006— (SELL)
Apr 11, 06:01 PM0x67fdea44SELL0.702$3,650— (SELL)
Apr 11, 05:59 PM0x67fdea44SELL0.700$2,258— (SELL)
Apr 11, 05:58 PM0x67fdea44SELL0.700$2,300— (SELL)
Apr 11, 05:57 PM0x67fdea44SELL0.700$1,683— (SELL)
Apr 11, 05:56 PM0x67fdea44SELL0.700$2,712— (SELL)
Apr 10, 12:38 AM0x777cfed7SELL0.720$4,515— (SELL)
Apr 9, 11:59 PM0xb00970bfSELL0.330$1,502— (SELL)
Apr 7, 01:39 AM0x035d5903SELL0.650$2,699— (SELL)
Apr 7, 01:39 AM0x035d5903SELL0.623$2,380— (SELL)
Apr 6, 03:16 AM0xd73929e5SELL0.480$2,273— (SELL)

Markets active in

24 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other7$84.5K+$84.5K
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Other1$60.1K+$60.1K
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Other8$36.7K+$36.7K
0xdd09a6837$20.9K$-20,898
0xb1a0c0e31$19.2K$-19,245
Will Germany win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Sports3$17.7K+$17.7K
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Other1$14.2K+$14.2K
0x67fdea445$12.6K$-12,602
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Other1$5,160+$5,160
0x035d59032$5,079$-5,079
0x777cfed71$4,515$-4,515
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?Other2$3,540+$435
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?Other1$3,453+$3,453
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Other1$3,206+$3,206
0x992ff40f1$2,710$-2,710
Will Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Other1$2,303+$2,303
0xd73929e51$2,273$-2,273
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Other1$2,013+$2,013
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Other1$1,998+$1,998
World Cup: Winless Team?Other1$1,760+$1,760
0xb00970bf1$1,502$-1,502
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Other1$1,489+$1,489
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?Other1$1,440+$1,440
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto1$1,084+$1,084