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0x499F138156D196AbCb34f98a1cAc73F48D37ccaf-1768155954388
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x499f…ccaf with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
-3%
historical realized
Win rate
31.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$63.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · -3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
30
Distinct markets
26
Volume (90d)
$195.1K
avg $6,502 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$195.1K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 30 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 12:02 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.161 | $35.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 06:05 PM | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $5,000 | — |
| May 30, 12:40 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY YES | 0.400 | $15.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 6, 06:54 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY YES | 0.230 | $5,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 6, 06:45 PM | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.290 | $15.0K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 29, 06:21 PM | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | BUY YES | 0.310 | $15.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 19, 04:22 PM | 0x46fe7c44 | BUY YES | 0.444 | $9,833 | — |
| Apr 15, 06:51 PM | 0xcc7dcc6c | BUY YES | 0.220 | $6,836 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 14, 06:49 PM | 0xecc2bcec | BUY YES | 0.370 | $4,906 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 14, 06:46 PM | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.097 | $3,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 14, 06:44 PM | 0x14a5623b | BUY | 0.330 | $4,900 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 14, 06:44 PM | 0xecc2bcec | BUY YES | 0.370 | $4,906 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 14, 06:44 PM | 0xec094535 | BUY | 0.227 | $4,884 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 12, 04:20 PM | 0x86ec3fe7 | BUY YES | 0.430 | $4,915 | — |
| Apr 9, 11:58 AM | 0xac36050b | BUY | 0.383 | $1,472 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 9, 11:58 AM | 0xc563357a | BUY | 0.481 | $3,446 | — |
| Apr 9, 07:57 AM | 0x924ea851 | BUY | 0.310 | $1,959 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 9, 06:46 AM | 0x924ea851 | BUY | 0.580 | $4,937 | — |
| Apr 8, 06:51 PM | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.183 | $5,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 8, 06:49 PM | 0x6a8e661d | BUY | 0.320 | $4,898 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 8, 06:49 PM | 0x1c16b60c | BUY YES | 0.530 | $9,859 | — |
| Apr 7, 07:59 PM | 0xb3579280 | BUY YES | 0.200 | $1,952 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 7, 06:59 PM | 0xa5e03455 | BUY YES | 0.366 | $3,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 7, 06:58 PM | 0x13cb2bd4 | BUY YES | 0.350 | $1,961 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 31, 06:42 PM | 0x9b67ea2d | BUY YES | 0.270 | $1,956 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 27, 10:55 PM | 0xa663a0cb | BUY | 0.548 | $5,000 | — |
| Mar 27, 02:01 PM | 0xe8e998f7 | BUY | 0.542 | $4,933 | — |
| Mar 26, 07:51 PM | 0x13efd3e6 | BUY YES | 0.450 | $5,000 | — |
| Mar 25, 10:05 PM | 0x9b51d021 | BUY | 0.464 | $3,500 | — |
| Mar 23, 05:50 PM | 0x869a132e | BUY | 0.580 | $2,000 | — |
Markets active in
26 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $35.0K | +$35.0K |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Other | 2 | $20.0K | +$20.0K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Tech | 1 | $15.0K | +$15.0K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Other | 1 | $15.0K | +$15.0K |
| 0x1c16b60c | — | 1 | $9,859 | +$9,859 |
| 0x46fe7c44 | — | 1 | $9,833 | +$9,833 |
| 0xecc2bcec | — | 2 | $9,811 | +$9,811 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Other | 2 | $8,000 | +$8,000 |
| 0x924ea851 | — | 2 | $6,896 | +$6,896 |
| 0xcc7dcc6c | — | 1 | $6,836 | +$6,836 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | Tech | 1 | $5,000 | +$5,000 |
| 0xa663a0cb | — | 1 | $5,000 | +$5,000 |
| 0x13efd3e6 | — | 1 | $5,000 | +$5,000 |
| 0xe8e998f7 | — | 1 | $4,933 | +$4,933 |
| 0x86ec3fe7 | — | 1 | $4,915 | +$4,915 |
| 0x14a5623b | — | 1 | $4,900 | +$4,900 |
| 0x6a8e661d | — | 1 | $4,898 | +$4,898 |
| 0xec094535 | — | 1 | $4,884 | +$4,884 |
| 0x9b51d021 | — | 1 | $3,500 | +$3,500 |
| 0xc563357a | — | 1 | $3,446 | +$3,446 |
| 0xa5e03455 | — | 1 | $3,000 | +$3,000 |
| 0x869a132e | — | 1 | $2,000 | +$2,000 |
| 0x13cb2bd4 | — | 1 | $1,961 | +$1,961 |
| 0x9b67ea2d | — | 1 | $1,956 | +$1,956 |
| 0xb3579280 | — | 1 | $1,952 | +$1,952 |
| 0xac36050b | — | 1 | $1,472 | +$1,472 |