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M8880

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x44da…e225 with our methodology badges per row.

0x44dabe09f4c0d31435be1df63ed299e5207fe225·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
no rep computed yet
PnL per $
historical realized
Win rate
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. No reputation snapshot yet — wallet is new or hasn't traded enough resolved markets.

Trades (90d)
14
Distinct markets
11
Volume (90d)
$41.0K
avg $2,926 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$39.0K / $1,998
net direction

Recent trades

last 14 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 06:58 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.880$17.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:14 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.079$1,836Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 11:12 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.097$1,067Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 04:13 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$1,998— (SELL)
Jun 1, 01:50 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.880$2,516Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 03:09 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.094$1,880Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 1, 03:06 AMTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?BUY NO0.690$1,559Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 02:50 AMWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY NO0.959$1,103Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 02:46 AMWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY NO0.957$1,540Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 12:09 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$1,679Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 12:09 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.090$2,241Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 12:08 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.113$2,184Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 12:06 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.168$2,045Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 12:04 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.180$1,954Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

11 markets · sorted by volume