| Jun 20, 11:06 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.945 | $27.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:13 PM | Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY NO | 0.938 | $1,331 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 01:00 PM | Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,967 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:24 PM | Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY NO | 0.921 | $1,035 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 01:45 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL NO | 0.300 | $5,666 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 10:30 PM | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.899 | $1,230 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:30 PM | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.888 | $4,549 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:29 PM | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.881 | $1,178 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 08:40 PM | Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,155 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 10:23 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 09:39 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.100 | $1,703 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 12:08 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $7,613 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 05:05 PM | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $1,657 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 03:16 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $6,426 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 08:12 PM | Will Batrider be the most banned hero at BLAST Slam VII? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $2,431 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 07:31 PM | Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $1,148 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:45 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $5,869 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 10:45 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $2,728 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 08:03 PM | Will Fluxo W7M win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $2,088 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:24 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,347 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 06:17 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $53.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 05:48 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $5,284 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 04:11 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.590 | $1,415 | —— |
| May 30, 04:07 PM | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $12.8K | —— |
| May 30, 02:12 PM | Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $3,157 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 05:59 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.200 | $2,050 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 29, 05:58 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.660 | $4,841 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 04:26 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $4,782 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:28 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.140 | $4,434 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 03:28 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.200 | $1,000 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 29, 03:06 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.190 | $1,583 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 28, 12:08 PM | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.850 | $1,149 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:54 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $2,679 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 11:40 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY YES | 0.966 | $2,034 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:43 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $3,669 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 07:06 PM | Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.739 | $2,048 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 11:42 PM | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $13.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 11:34 PM | Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.917 | $2,099 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 08:32 PM | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.151 | $1,354 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 20, 05:53 PM | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.920 | $1,666 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 02:21 AM | Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-20? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $6,111 | —— |
| May 20, 02:18 AM | Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-19? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,011 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 08:24 PM | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $8,447 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 02:27 AM | Will Astralis make it to the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,405 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 11:19 PM | Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.878 | $2,081 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 12:51 PM | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $6,202 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 10:29 PM | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY YES | 0.978 | $5,427 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 11:04 PM | Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026? | BUY NO | 0.889 | $1,222 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 11:08 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $11.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 11:08 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $20.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 01:15 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,211 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 09:58 PM | Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $25.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 08:47 PM | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $2,217 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 08:40 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,583 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 08:07 PM | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL NO | 0.730 | $2,434 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 07:58 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $71.7K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 07:08 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $8,729 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 07:05 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $1,679 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 08:40 AM | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY NO | 0.939 | $1,467 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 10:26 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $221.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 01:34 PM | Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $7,877 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 10:12 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $1,028 | —— |
| Apr 27, 10:11 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $1,683 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 09:40 PM | 0xbafb642f | BUY NO | 0.920 | $1,064 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 06:13 PM | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY YES | 0.430 | $2,069 | —— |
| Apr 27, 06:12 PM | LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In | BUY YES | 0.440 | $1,344 | —— |
| Apr 26, 04:53 PM | LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner | BUY YES | 0.999 | $2,197 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 09:27 AM | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL YES | 0.670 | $1,160 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 08:22 PM | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,953 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 08:18 PM | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,292 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 08:15 PM | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $2,176 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:26 PM | Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | SELL YES | 0.440 | $3,408 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 01:56 PM | Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | BUY YES | 0.470 | $8,736 | —— |
| Apr 25, 11:16 AM | LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY YES | 0.060 | $1,121 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 19, 06:22 AM | 0xb58501ba | SELL | 0.280 | $1,534 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 19, 06:21 AM | 0xb58501ba | SELL | 0.290 | $2,557 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 02:43 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $3,182 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 02:10 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $7,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 01:40 PM | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.964 | $1,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 06:20 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $6,213 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 06:20 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.794 | $25.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 11, 04:57 PM | 0x67fdea44 | BUY | 0.450 | $8,500 | —— |
| Apr 11, 04:03 PM | 0x6164dd3b | BUY | 0.330 | $7,357 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 11, 01:57 PM | 0x6faccd17 | BUY | 0.420 | $3,779 | —— |
| Apr 11, 09:15 AM | 0xcb5d1508 | BUY | 0.230 | $1,542 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 10, 12:10 PM | 0xf43d795d | BUY | 0.999 | $16.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 10, 10:01 AM | 0x2bf40aff | SELL | 0.730 | $4,295 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 10, 09:22 AM | 0x4efcea81 | BUY | 0.862 | $6,487 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 10, 07:13 AM | 0x2bf40aff | BUY | 0.430 | $2,030 | —— |
| Apr 9, 10:38 AM | 0x307c8718 | BUY | 0.999 | $11.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 08:31 AM | 0x33d8a612 | BUY | 0.960 | $1,065 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 02:58 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $3,918 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 07:05 PM | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL YES | 0.060 | $1,333 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 05:23 PM | 0x04fbcc53 | SELL | 0.430 | $1,038 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 02:38 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL YES | 0.250 | $1,702 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 5, 04:10 AM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL YES | 0.860 | $5,343 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 4, 08:43 PM | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $20.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 4, 08:43 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL YES | 0.880 | $11.3K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 4, 06:31 PM | 0xd4c16e04 | BUY YES | 0.710 | $1,065 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 01:29 PM | 0x0357a97c | SELL | 0.540 | $2,264 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 11:45 PM | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? | BUY YES | 0.590 | $4,001 | —— |
| Mar 30, 12:36 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.340 | $6,800 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 30, 12:31 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.320 | $2,808 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 30, 12:25 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.470 | $2,238 | —— |
| Mar 29, 10:26 PM | 0x143a3422 | BUY | 0.610 | $11.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 08:53 AM | 0x306d10d4 | BUY YES | 0.065 | $1,298 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 27, 11:30 PM | 0xcc7b86a3 | BUY | 0.440 | $8,311 | —— |
| Mar 24, 02:39 AM | 0x3542af94 | SELL | 0.480 | $6,330 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 24, 01:10 AM | 0x404ea064 | SELL | 0.460 | $8,696 | — (SELL) |