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0x42D1e0daa3c83748CB1661bFcd9D3033278214aA-1760696201963

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x42d1…14aa with our methodology badges per row.

0x42d1e0daa3c83748cb1661bfcd9d3033278214aa·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
13
lifetime
PnL per $
-10%
historical realized
Win rate
55.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$73.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 13 resolved trades · -10% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
18
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$106.0K
avg $5,890 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$69.2K / $36.8K
net direction

Recent trades

last 18 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 31, 09:20 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.644$23.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 03:18 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.439$9,983—
May 6, 08:01 PMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL YES0.142$1,517— (SELL)
May 6, 08:01 PMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?SELL YES0.243$1,024— (SELL)
May 2, 04:42 PMWill Trump visit China by May 31?SELL YES0.915$1,941— (SELL)
May 2, 04:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.210$5,206— (SELL)
Apr 28, 12:09 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.290$2,074Cheap band — no rep
Apr 28, 12:07 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.280$4,920Cheap band — no rep
Apr 28, 12:05 AMWill Trump visit China by May 31?BUY YES0.780$1,503Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 12:01 AMWill Trump visit China by May 15?BUY YES0.660$1,320Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 11:58 PMWill Trump visit China by May 15?BUY YES0.650$1,531Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 11:45 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.720$14.0K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 11:45 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.668$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 02:51 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL NO0.977$9,636— (SELL)
Apr 21, 10:26 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?SELL YES0.265$3,466— (SELL)
Apr 18, 06:38 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?BUY YES0.470$1,537—
Apr 18, 06:36 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?BUY YES0.450$2,682—
Apr 18, 05:44 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.748$7,374Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

9 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other5$39.3K+$766
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$23.2K+$23.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Tech2$17.0K$-2,262
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Sports1$9,983+$9,983
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Other3$7,684+$753
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics2$3,445$-438
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics2$2,851+$2,851
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Finance1$1,517$-1,517
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Finance1$1,024$-1,024