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0x4247…91c4

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4247…91c4 with our methodology badges per row.

0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
30
lifetime
PnL per $
-48%
historical realized
Win rate
46.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$279.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 30 resolved trades · -48% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
183
Distinct markets
28
Volume (90d)
$3.73M
avg $20.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$2.09M / $1.64M
net direction

Recent trades

last 183 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 07:01 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$16.7K— (SELL)
Jun 13, 10:52 AMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY YES0.480$9,451
Jun 13, 10:47 AMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.640$19.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 10:37 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.985$1,396— (SELL)
Jun 13, 10:33 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.986$1,398Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 03:49 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.590$9,558
Jun 13, 03:38 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.590$9,559
Jun 11, 05:14 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.087$1,269Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 02:55 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.683$5,053— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:55 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.648$38.3K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:55 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.992$48.6K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:54 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.726$36.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:54 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.688$11.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:54 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.993$48.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:54 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.650$23.0K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:54 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.992$25.8K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:53 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.695$25.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:53 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.993$25.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:53 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.992$13.6K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:53 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.663$12.6K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:52 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.700$13.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:52 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.993$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:50 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.688$4,334— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:50 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.992$4,676— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:49 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.993$4,681Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:49 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.693$4,575Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:49 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$1,027— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:49 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.677$3,462— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:49 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.966$4,648— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.688$4,572Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:48 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.970$4,669Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:47 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$2,306— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:47 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.965$2,379— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:47 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.970$2,392Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:47 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.680$2,340Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:46 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$1,181— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:46 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.965$1,219— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:46 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.680$1,198Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:46 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.969$1,225Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:20 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.673$64.0K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:20 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.855$64.5K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:20 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.901$67.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:20 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.706$67.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:19 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.854$34.7K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:19 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$34.2K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:19 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.882$35.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:19 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.694$35.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:19 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.860$18.3K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:19 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.673$18.0K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.690$18.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:18 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.878$18.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$9,368— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:18 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.860$9,588— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.690$9,645Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:18 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.874$9,744Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:17 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.860$4,974— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:17 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$4,911— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:17 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.870$5,032Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:17 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.680$4,987Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:17 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$2,521— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:17 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.860$2,590— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:16 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.690$2,597Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:16 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.870$2,620Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:16 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.680$1,322— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:16 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.860$1,338— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:16 AMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.870$1,354Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:16 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.690$1,342Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:02 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.880$1,760— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:54 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.870$21.1K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:54 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.873$28.2K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:54 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.875$37.6K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:54 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.631$43.3K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:54 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.662$34.9K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:54 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.723$87.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:54 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.917$88.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:53 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.867$21.8K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:53 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.870$29.1K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:52 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.876$39.1K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:52 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.930$31.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:52 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.907$67.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:51 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL YES0.384$46.0K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:51 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL YES0.460$18.4K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:51 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL YES0.460$24.5K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:49 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL YES0.461$32.7K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:48 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.825$205.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:48 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.485$16.8K
Jun 8, 10:44 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.880$4,400— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:44 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.880$1,320— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:43 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.874$23.1K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:43 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.892$31.5K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:42 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.905$42.6K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:42 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.596$68.9K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:42 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.633$59.2K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:41 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.986$117.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.900$35.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.861$145.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.566$11.2K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.631$81.1K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:41 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.849$101.2K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:41 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.942$112.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.857$19.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.734$92.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:40 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.868$61.0K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:40 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.644$53.6K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.764$34.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:37 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.967$68.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.869$33.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:37 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.848$36.5K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.633$20.0K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.662$15.4K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:37 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.980$2,323Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:37 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.945$38.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.750$10.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.722$29.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:36 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.863$40.9K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:36 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.939$44.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:36 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.661$22.2K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:36 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.873$22.8K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:35 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.930$24.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:35 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.714$23.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:35 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.880$12.4K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:35 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.660$12.0K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:35 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.694$12.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:35 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.906$12.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:34 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.664$6,376— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:34 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.883$6,626— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:34 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.690$6,623Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:34 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.894$6,706Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:34 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$3,345— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:33 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.880$3,443— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:33 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.890$3,482Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.690$3,443Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$1,750— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:33 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.880$1,778— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.680$1,776Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:33 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.890$1,798Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:10 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.900$1,008Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:10 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.890$1,020— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:09 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.900$1,032Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:09 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.890$1,044— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:09 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.900$1,056Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 09:24 PMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.133$3,634Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 10:34 PMWill Russell Henley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?SELL YES0.989$1,042— (SELL)
May 25, 09:37 PMIran closes its airspace by May 24?SELL NO0.988$1,360— (SELL)
May 21, 01:45 AMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY YES0.100$1,093Killed band — neutral expectation
May 20, 04:01 AMWill Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-19?SELL YES0.999$1,484— (SELL)
May 20, 01:45 AMWill Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.786$1,045Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 11:09 PMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?SELL YES0.841$1,086— (SELL)
May 19, 01:40 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$2,614Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 02:33 AMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL YES0.346$1,080— (SELL)
May 18, 10:15 PMIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?BUY YES0.414$2,876
May 17, 09:39 PMWill CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-17?SELL YES0.833$1,975— (SELL)
May 17, 06:26 PMWill CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.689$1,450Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 05:42 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.087$3,457Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 05:37 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.087$3,705Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 04:45 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.840$1,416Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 10:56 PMJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY YES0.770$6,103Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 10:56 PMJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY YES0.360$17.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 6, 08:34 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?BUY YES0.600$1,584
Apr 26, 04:17 PMValorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaBUY YES0.750$2,129Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:35 PM0x18817564BUY YES0.974$19.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 06:34 PM0x18817564BUY YES0.994$7,861Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 06:32 PM0x18817564BUY YES0.973$9,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 06:32 PM0x18817564BUY YES0.995$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 12:57 AM0x13f3fb5cSELL YES0.183$1,208— (SELL)
Apr 17, 12:57 AM0x13f3fb5cSELL YES0.124$1,968— (SELL)
Apr 17, 12:54 AM0x72681ed3BUY NO0.604$7,377Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 12:54 AM0x72681ed3BUY NO0.471$1,861
Apr 17, 12:54 AM0x72681ed3BUY NO0.892$11.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 12:41 AM0x18817564BUY YES0.969$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 12:31 AM0x18817564SELL YES0.677$3,644— (SELL)
Apr 17, 12:31 AM0x18817564SELL YES0.285$2,818— (SELL)
Apr 17, 12:31 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL YES0.239$9,011— (SELL)
Apr 16, 10:14 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY YES0.250$1,356Cheap band — no rep
Apr 16, 10:14 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY YES0.231$7,444Cheap band — no rep
Apr 16, 09:52 PM0x13f3fb5cBUY YES0.820$4,552Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 09:52 PM0x13f3fb5cBUY YES0.603$4,850Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 09:52 PM0x13f3fb5cBUY YES0.274$1,625Cheap band — no rep
Apr 16, 09:52 PM0x13f3fb5cBUY YES0.356$3,423Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 16, 09:47 PM0x18817564BUY YES0.951$4,367Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 09:47 PM0x18817564BUY YES0.996$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 04:21 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL YES0.992$3,059— (SELL)
Apr 13, 04:21 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.993$3,062Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

28 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics60$1.49M+$58.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Other59$1.43M+$116.6K
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Other6$343.7K+$100.6K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance8$185.4K+$93
0x188175649$89.0K+$76.0K
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Other2$24.1K+$24.1K
0x72681ed33$21.1K+$21.1K
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Other1$19.2K+$19.2K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Other2$19.1K+$19.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Other3$17.8K$-211
0x13f3fb5c6$17.6K+$11.3K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Crypto1$16.7K$-16,725
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$9,777+$9,777
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Crypto1$9,451+$9,451
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Other2$6,121+$3
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics2$4,714+$2,555
Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-17?Other2$3,425$-525
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Tech1$2,876+$2,876
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$2,794+$1
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-19?Other2$2,530$-439
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaOther1$2,129+$2,129
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Tech1$1,584+$1,584
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other1$1,416+$1,416
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Tech1$1,360$-1,360
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,269+$1,269
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Crypto1$1,093+$1,093
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Entertainment1$1,086$-1,086
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?Other1$1,042$-1,042