ohh.betAnalytics
Back to whale feed

afdafdafdafdafd

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x410a…2643 with our methodology badges per row.

0x410aa391edffa58af64517ec579af5def62b2643·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
+7%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$68.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · 7% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
26
Distinct markets
22
Volume (90d)
$280.3K
avg $10.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$228.5K / $51.8K
net direction

Recent trades

last 26 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 7, 06:39 AMWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.990$1,711Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 11:02 AMNetanyahu out by June 30?BUY NO0.978$10.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:20 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.991$28.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 01:02 PMWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY NO0.820$32.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 01:01 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.940$26.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 06:06 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.760$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 09:55 AMWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.993$7,448— (SELL)
Apr 8, 09:54 AMWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.989$7,418— (SELL)
Apr 8, 09:54 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.988$7,410— (SELL)
Apr 8, 09:54 AM558944SELL NO0.988$7,410— (SELL)
Apr 8, 09:54 AMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.985$7,388— (SELL)
Apr 8, 09:54 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.983$7,373— (SELL)
Apr 8, 09:53 AMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.978$7,335— (SELL)
Apr 5, 02:50 PMNetanyahu out by April 30?BUY NO0.989$1,972Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 09:15 AMTrump out as President before 2027?BUY NO0.840$40.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 09:09 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.966$11.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 09:08 AMTrump out as President by April 30?BUY NO0.988$4,090Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 08:36 AMWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.987$7,034Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 04:45 AMNetanyahu out by April 30?BUY NO0.977$5,018Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:33 PM0x7f81f50dBUY NO0.995$7,421Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:15 PMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.989$7,418Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:14 PM0x24026080BUY NO0.996$12.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:06 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.984$7,380Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:01 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?BUY NO0.998$7,029Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 06:33 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.940$4,369Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 05:01 AM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.983$1,118Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

22 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics1$40.6K+$40.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Other1$32.8K+$32.8K
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Other1$28.9K+$28.9K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Other1$26.3K+$26.3K
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Other2$15.7K+$15.7K
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$14.8K+$8
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$14.8K+$8
0x24026080—1$12.4K+$12.4K
Netanyahu out by June 30?Other1$10.9K+$10.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Tech1$10.6K+$10.6K
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$7,448$-7,447
0x7f81f50d—1$7,421+$7,421
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$7,418$-7,417
558944—1$7,410$-7,410
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$7,388$-7,387
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$7,335$-7,335
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$7,034+$7,034
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Other1$7,029+$7,029
Netanyahu out by April 30?Other2$6,991+$6,991
Trump out as President by April 30?Politics1$4,090+$4,090
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics1$1,711+$1,711
0x61ce3773—1$1,118+$1,118