C03B

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4060…3ec3 with our methodology badges per row.

0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

257

lifetime

PnL per $

+40%

historical realized

Win rate

74.3%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$1.87M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

103

Volume (90d)

$1.17M

avg $5,860 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$1.01M / $160.2K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 20, 08:45 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.700	$1,068	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 10:04 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.992	$40.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 10:34 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.988	$25.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:59 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	BUY NO	0.998	$5,988	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:59 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	BUY YES	0.998	$4,773	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:57 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	BUY NO	0.969	$10.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:56 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	BUY YES	0.999	$66.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:55 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	BUY YES	0.990	$32.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:53 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	BUY YES	0.997	$1,994	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:53 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	BUY YES	0.999	$70.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:25 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.987	$4,421	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:57 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?	SELL NO	0.650	$1,866	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 01:41 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	SELL NO	0.783	$1,001	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 08:27 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?	BUY YES	0.591	$1,383	—
Jun 11, 07:32 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	SELL NO	0.930	$1,512	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:44 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?	BUY NO	0.962	$2,211	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 05:41 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?	BUY YES	0.321	$1,914	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 05:30 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?	SELL NO	0.782	$2,049	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:29 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	SELL NO	0.581	$1,027	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 11:26 AM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?	SELL NO	0.476	$1,083	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 11:21 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?	SELL YES	0.830	$1,043	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 11:09 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	BUY YES	0.480	$1,081	—
Jun 10, 11:05 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?	BUY NO	0.837	$5,106	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:24 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	BUY YES	0.969	$1,538	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 03:51 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	BUY NO	0.601	$5,178	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 02:56 PM	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	BUY YES	0.945	$12.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 11:40 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	BUY NO	0.550	$1,756	—
Jun 10, 11:27 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	SELL NO	0.635	$1,482	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 11:17 AM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?	BUY NO	0.472	$2,796	—
Jun 10, 12:32 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?	BUY YES	0.771	$1,041	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 08:21 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 9?	BUY NO	0.998	$2,645	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 04:40 PM	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	BUY YES	0.841	$2,379	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 02:30 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?	BUY NO	0.775	$1,690	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:10 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8?	BUY YES	0.757	$1,030	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:32 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	BUY NO	0.357	$1,457	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 02:03 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 5?	BUY NO	0.942	$1,428	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 04:34 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 4?	BUY NO	0.510	$1,109	—
Jun 4, 01:16 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 1 2026?	BUY NO	0.973	$2,598	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:18 AM	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.997	$5,445	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 12:05 AM	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.992	$34.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 07:57 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 2?	BUY NO	0.950	$4,071	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 07:02 PM	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.999	$37.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 12:21 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,695	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 12:21 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,014	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 12:21 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,337	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 12:20 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	BUY NO	0.999	$4,425	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:56 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,753	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:55 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,511	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:53 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,753	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:15 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	BUY NO	0.997	$1,179	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 09:31 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.998	$7,577	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 09:29 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.998	$26.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 09:14 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.998	$3,693	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 08:57 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	SELL NO	0.998	$4,990	— (SELL)
May 29, 08:56 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	BUY NO	0.970	$2,003	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 07:48 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	BUY NO	0.980	$2,416	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 07:43 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	BUY NO	0.978	$15.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 07:40 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	BUY NO	0.890	$7,664	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 07:39 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	BUY NO	0.867	$4,812	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 07:26 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	SELL NO	0.998	$1,133	— (SELL)
May 29, 07:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	BUY NO	0.840	$1,445	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 06:29 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	BUY NO	0.740	$2,339	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 05:45 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	BUY NO	0.952	$1,602	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 04:39 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	SELL NO	0.510	$1,274	— (SELL)
May 29, 02:56 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	BUY NO	0.790	$26.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 02:38 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	BUY NO	0.742	$1,887	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 02:07 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	BUY NO	0.685	$1,481	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 09:53 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,320	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 12:20 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	BUY NO	0.970	$13.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:59 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	BUY NO	0.990	$3,963	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:59 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,940	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:59 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,134	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:57 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	BUY NO	0.840	$1,531	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 04:45 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	BUY NO	0.930	$11.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:14 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	BUY NO	0.984	$25.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 06:30 AM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,267	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 08:52 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,697	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 07:56 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on May 26?	BUY NO	0.999	$8,838	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 07:56 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 26?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,609	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 10:41 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	SELL NO	0.951	$1,243	— (SELL)
May 22, 08:55 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of May 18 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$51.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:40 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 22?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,961	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:32 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of May 18 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,656	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:31 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,602	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 11:58 AM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	SELL YES	0.666	$1,245	— (SELL)
May 21, 08:36 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	SELL YES	0.691	$2,681	— (SELL)
May 21, 06:22 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 22?	BUY NO	0.985	$1,037	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:51 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	SELL NO	0.920	$3,269	— (SELL)
May 21, 05:11 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	SELL NO	0.857	$1,192	— (SELL)
May 21, 01:35 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,045	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 01:35 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	BUY NO	0.868	$2,412	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 10:51 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.978	$1,629	— (SELL)
May 21, 10:31 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.860	$16.2K	— (SELL)
May 21, 07:53 AM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	SELL YES	0.933	$2,654	— (SELL)
May 21, 07:50 AM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	BUY YES	0.710	$3,128	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:54 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	SELL NO	0.750	$17.6K	— (SELL)
May 20, 04:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	SELL YES	0.650	$1,046	— (SELL)
May 20, 03:26 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	SELL YES	0.680	$1,354	— (SELL)
May 20, 03:17 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,113	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 03:16 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	BUY YES	0.760	$14.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:54 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 19?	BUY YES	0.999	$7,143	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:53 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 19?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,149	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:53 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	BUY YES	0.999	$6,634	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 06:54 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.760	$1,472	— (SELL)
May 19, 02:54 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	BUY YES	0.168	$1,075	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 02:34 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	SELL YES	0.861	$1,938	— (SELL)
May 19, 01:34 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	BUY YES	0.637	$5,148	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 01:31 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.760	$2,687	— (SELL)
May 19, 06:36 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.760	$2,056	— (SELL)
May 18, 08:52 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.760	$2,352	— (SELL)
May 18, 08:51 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	SELL NO	0.440	$1,306	— (SELL)
May 18, 06:20 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.744	$12.6K	— (SELL)
May 18, 03:02 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.760	$1,546	— (SELL)
May 18, 02:59 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.770	$3,147	— (SELL)
May 18, 02:24 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.800	$1,754	— (SELL)
May 18, 12:45 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	BUY NO	0.480	$2,926	—
May 18, 12:37 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	SELL YES	0.553	$1,705	— (SELL)
May 18, 12:36 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.780	$15.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 11:41 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.760	$14.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 11:41 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	BUY NO	0.650	$2,035	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 11:41 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	BUY NO	0.430	$2,356	—
May 18, 08:33 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	SELL NO	0.923	$1,071	— (SELL)
May 18, 01:51 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	SELL YES	0.686	$2,030	— (SELL)
May 18, 01:08 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	SELL NO	0.776	$1,417	— (SELL)
May 18, 12:53 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.749	$11.6K	— (SELL)
May 18, 12:34 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	BUY YES	0.483	$3,093	—
May 18, 12:25 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	BUY YES	0.766	$1,357	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:01 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	SELL NO	0.161	$1,094	— (SELL)
May 17, 07:48 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of May 18 2026?	BUY YES	0.989	$1,434	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 09:04 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,179	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 09:01 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$4,290	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 09:00 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$9,488	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:59 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$7,815	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:58 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.970	$5,820	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:56 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.984	$6,850	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:45 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	BUY NO	0.990	$3,663	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:00 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	BUY NO	0.999	$5,692	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:59 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	BUY YES	0.999	$2,214	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:55 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 15?	BUY YES	0.999	$3,497	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:55 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?	BUY YES	0.999	$5,345	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:55 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 15?	BUY NO	0.999	$5,348	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:24 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?	BUY YES	0.980	$1,825	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 01:47 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	BUY YES	0.830	$1,675	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 10:56 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.900	$4,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 10:47 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.940	$4,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 09:48 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.980	$1,976	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:33 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.982	$1,786	— (SELL)
May 15, 08:31 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	SELL NO	0.440	$9,677	— (SELL)
May 15, 08:15 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	SELL YES	0.695	$1,325	— (SELL)
May 15, 05:47 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	BUY YES	0.554	$1,301	—
May 15, 05:36 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:14 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?	BUY YES	0.459	$2,713	—
May 15, 12:38 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	BUY NO	0.450	$1,149	—
May 15, 12:34 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	BUY YES	0.481	$1,253	—
May 14, 07:47 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	BUY NO	0.538	$6,089	—
May 14, 09:51 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.847	$2,017	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 07:59 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	SELL NO	0.858	$2,024	— (SELL)
May 13, 04:26 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	SELL YES	0.661	$1,368	— (SELL)
May 13, 04:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	BUY NO	0.650	$23.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	BUY NO	0.645	$5,409	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.750	$50.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:24 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	BUY NO	0.450	$17.8K	—
May 13, 03:56 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	SELL YES	0.769	$1,081	— (SELL)
May 13, 02:06 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	BUY YES	0.833	$1,782	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 01:56 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	SELL NO	0.506	$1,451	— (SELL)
May 13, 12:48 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	BUY YES	0.762	$3,004	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 02:57 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.495	$2,705	—
May 13, 02:50 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	BUY YES	0.604	$1,007	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 08:58 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 12?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,199	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 08:57 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 12?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,552	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 02:59 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	BUY YES	0.569	$3,062	—
May 12, 12:53 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	SELL YES	0.527	$1,206	— (SELL)
May 12, 10:55 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY YES	0.519	$1,322	—
May 12, 10:55 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	BUY YES	0.782	$1,190	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 07:49 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.975	$2,077	— (SELL)
May 11, 08:54 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 11?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,487	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 04:35 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	SELL NO	0.500	$3,000	— (SELL)
May 11, 04:35 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	SELL NO	0.546	$2,784	— (SELL)
May 11, 02:55 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	BUY YES	0.882	$1,325	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 01:00 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	BUY NO	0.869	$1,588	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 12:25 PM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	BUY YES	0.718	$2,138	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 08:04 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	BUY NO	0.550	$11.1K	—
May 8, 08:58 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$3,127	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 08:56 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 8?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,299	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 08:53 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$6,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 08:53 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$7,162	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 08:16 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$6,880	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 08:11 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.999	$11.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 08:39 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.938	$1,303	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 04:03 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.842	$1,067	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 02:36 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.806	$1,132	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 02:30 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	SELL YES	0.781	$1,752	— (SELL)
May 7, 02:30 PM	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	SELL YES	0.820	$6,538	— (SELL)
May 7, 07:09 AM	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY YES	0.999	$2,432	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 08:55 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 6?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,370	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 08:00 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	BUY NO	0.999	$5,401	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 07:59 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	BUY NO	0.989	$2,037	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 01:09 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	SELL NO	0.900	$2,695	— (SELL)
May 6, 01:08 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	BUY NO	0.812	$1,744	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 01:06 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	SELL NO	0.900	$1,961	— (SELL)

Markets active in

103 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Other	16	$173.0K	+$62.0K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Tech	1	$70.9K	+$70.9K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Tech	2	$68.3K	+$68.3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Other	6	$59.6K	+$37.6K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of May 18 2026?	Other	1	$51.3K	+$51.3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Other	4	$48.6K	+$13.3K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Other	2	$41.6K	+$38.4K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Crypto	2	$40.2K	+$40.2K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Tech	2	$37.5K	+$37.5K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Tech	1	$37.2K	+$37.2K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	2	$29.5K	+$29.5K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	Other	3	$28.6K	+$26.3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Other	3	$26.0K	+$26.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Other	7	$21.4K	+$18.9K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Other	4	$18.6K	+$11.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Other	2	$17.8K	+$17.8K
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	Other	3	$16.9K	+$5,284
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Other	6	$16.8K	$-243
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Tech	2	$16.1K	+$16.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Other	7	$15.4K	+$6,062
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026?	Other	2	$15.3K	+$15.3K
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026?	Other	2	$14.7K	+$14.7K
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Other	1	$12.9K	+$12.9K
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Other	4	$11.7K	+$506
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	Other	1	$11.1K	+$11.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Other	3	$9,646	$-9,646
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?	Other	3	$9,021	+$1,191
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on May 26?	Finance	1	$8,838	+$8,838
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	Finance	4	$8,569	+$8,569
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Other	2	$8,290	$-8,290

Showing top 30 by volume.