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ChampaLiberation
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x3de2…0c64 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
-89%
historical realized
Win rate
10.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$22.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · -89% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
59
Distinct markets
25
Volume (90d)
$454.3K
avg $7,699 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$69.5K / $384.7K
net direction
Recent trades
last 59 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 09:54 AM | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.920 | $1,018 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:54 AM | 0xf6e44da6 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,392 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:54 AM | 0x2b1435f4 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $1,491 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:54 AM | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | SELL YES | 0.669 | $2,401 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:54 AM | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.878 | $3,072 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:54 AM | 0xae925d37 | SELL NO | 0.909 | $3,169 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:54 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $3,520 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:53 AM | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.875 | $4,452 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:53 AM | 0xae84617a | SELL NO | 0.984 | $5,729 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:53 AM | Netanyahu out by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.963 | $6,740 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:53 AM | No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | SELL NO | 0.657 | $7,294 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | 0xf2995999 | SELL YES | 0.948 | $8,826 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.957 | $14.6K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | SELL YES | 0.759 | $9,491 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | 0xc28589f4 | SELL YES | 0.327 | $19.6K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | 0x64d6a172 | SELL NO | 0.495 | $16.8K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | 0x61ce3773 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $11.7K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | 0xd25b2fc3 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $17.4K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.899 | $56.5K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 09:52 AM | 0x7cb525e8 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $105.2K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 04:53 PM | 0x77508b9c | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,997 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 04:46 PM | 0x77508b9c | SELL YES | 0.999 | $3,996 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 12:45 PM | 0x77508b9c | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,998 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 08:48 AM | 0x64d6a172 | BUY NO | 0.992 | $9,424 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 06:14 AM | 0x7cb525e8 | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,990 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 05:32 AM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.987 | $1,747 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 04:01 PM | 0x77508b9c | BUY YES | 0.998 | $3,992 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 03:38 PM | 0x77508b9c | BUY YES | 0.998 | $4,491 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 03:22 PM | 0x77508b9c | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,996 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 02:20 PM | 0x77508b9c | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,497 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 02:20 PM | 0x09e8f0db | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,447 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 02:10 PM | 0x09e8f0db | SELL NO | 0.995 | $4,975 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 11:41 AM | 0x4cd373cd | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,752 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 08:48 AM | 0xffff6c98 | SELL NO | 0.997 | $2,493 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 08:47 AM | 0x7cb525e8 | BUY NO | 0.994 | $2,485 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 12:33 PM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.983 | $1,303 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 11:27 AM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.983 | $3,436 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 10:59 AM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.983 | $1,614 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 10:56 AM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.983 | $2,964 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 10:55 AM | 0xf6e44da6 | SELL NO | 0.995 | $2,964 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 25, 10:46 AM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.983 | $1,243 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 05:51 AM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.984 | $1,422 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 04:43 PM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.987 | $6,292 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 11:20 AM | 0x64d6a172 | BUY NO | 0.981 | $3,649 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 11:19 AM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $6,213 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 24, 11:18 AM | 0x64d6a172 | BUY NO | 0.981 | $2,376 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 11:18 AM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $2,376 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 24, 11:17 AM | 0x64d6a172 | BUY NO | 0.981 | $2,803 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 11:15 AM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $2,376 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 24, 10:59 AM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $1,584 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 24, 10:56 AM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $2,112 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 04:19 PM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $4,731 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 03:12 PM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $7,470 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 02:28 PM | 0x7cb525e8 | BUY NO | 0.989 | $9,890 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 02:26 PM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $9,960 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 12:34 PM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $14.9K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 12:05 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $2,250 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 12:02 PM | 0xfc9ee9c2 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $9,960 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 12:02 PM | 0xf6e44da6 | BUY NO | 0.989 | $2,669 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
25 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7cb525e8 | — | 4 | $119.6K | $-90,878 |
| 0xfc9ee9c2 | — | 10 | $61.7K | $-61,723 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | 1 | $56.5K | $-56,519 |
| 0xc28589f4 | — | 9 | $39.6K | +$412 |
| 0x64d6a172 | — | 5 | $35.0K | +$1,477 |
| 0x77508b9c | — | 7 | $21.0K | +$2,985 |
| 0xd25b2fc3 | — | 1 | $17.4K | $-17,404 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Tech | 1 | $14.6K | $-14,556 |
| 0x61ce3773 | — | 1 | $11.7K | $-11,679 |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Other | 1 | $9,491 | $-9,491 |
| 0xf2995999 | — | 1 | $8,826 | $-8,825 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Other | 1 | $7,294 | $-7,294 |
| 0xf6e44da6 | — | 3 | $7,025 | $-1,687 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | Other | 1 | $6,740 | $-6,740 |
| 0x09e8f0db | — | 2 | $6,422 | $-6,422 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Other | 2 | $5,770 | $-1,270 |
| 0xae84617a | — | 1 | $5,729 | $-5,729 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Other | 1 | $4,452 | $-4,452 |
| 0xae925d37 | — | 1 | $3,169 | $-3,169 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Other | 1 | $3,072 | $-3,072 |
| 0xffff6c98 | — | 1 | $2,493 | $-2,492 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Other | 1 | $2,401 | $-2,401 |
| 0x4cd373cd | — | 1 | $1,752 | $-1,752 |
| 0x2b1435f4 | — | 1 | $1,491 | $-1,491 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Politics | 1 | $1,018 | $-1,018 |