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FoldingKeene

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x3c01…d612 with our methodology badges per row.

0x3c01b99c8aed5d5dc7477f3dc3bb048290b1d612·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-74%
historical realized
Win rate
24.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$84.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -74% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$104.6K
avg $6,156 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$27.9K / $76.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 7, 04:02 AMXi Jinping out before 2027?BUY NO0.930$4,650Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 03:55 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.991$37.7K— (SELL)
Jun 7, 02:06 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.991$6,937— (SELL)
May 18, 02:09 AMXi Jinping out before 2027?SELL NO0.930$2,649— (SELL)
May 16, 07:49 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.690$1,893Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 04:15 AMXi Jinping out before 2027?SELL NO0.930$2,649— (SELL)
May 15, 03:11 AMXi Jinping out before 2027?SELL NO0.929$1,764— (SELL)
May 13, 09:21 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.910$1,206Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 11:17 PMXi Jinping out before 2027?SELL NO0.924$2,647— (SELL)
Apr 29, 11:36 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.940$2,820Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 02:36 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.930$9,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 10:00 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.920$1,012— (SELL)
Apr 13, 02:07 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.910$2,112Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 09:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.982$18.3K— (SELL)
Apr 8, 12:02 AMWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL YES0.630$1,910— (SELL)
Apr 7, 10:49 PMXi Jinping out before 2027?SELL NO0.928$1,241— (SELL)
Apr 2, 04:20 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.900$5,926Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

6 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance7$65.8K$-25,448
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Finance1$18.3K$-18,273
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Other6$15.6K$-6,300
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Other1$1,910$-1,910
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Finance1$1,893+$1,893
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance1$1,206+$1,206