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Occasionalbettor

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x3800…2325 with our methodology badges per row.

0x380002b00394456c8a247bcf115b5ee665f72325·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
+1%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$51.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · 1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
16
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$86.8K
avg $5,423 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$86.8K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 16 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 11, 08:43 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.993$27.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 09:01 AMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?BUY NO0.992$1,442Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 04:53 AMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?BUY NO0.995$1,576Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 08:09 PMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY YES0.965$2,040Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 07:54 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.993$15.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:29 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.970$7,186Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 05:27 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.890$4,450Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 04:05 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.860$4,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 04:04 PM0xce4b3c1aBUY YES0.930$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:12 AM0xce4b3c1aBUY YES0.920$2,533Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:11 AM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.840$2,990Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 07:01 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.740$3,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 07:01 PM0xce4b3c1aBUY YES0.830$3,828Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 07:00 PM0x8a6b6711BUY0.510$3,841—
Apr 11, 10:24 AMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY YES0.952$1,534Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 07:49 AMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY YES0.945$2,615Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

9 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance1$27.1K+$27.1K
0xfcde02af—5$22.6K+$22.6K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Finance1$15.1K+$15.1K
0xce4b3c1a—3$8,861+$8,861
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Sports2$4,149+$4,149
0x8a6b6711—1$3,841+$3,841
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics1$2,040+$2,040
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?Other1$1,576+$1,576
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?Other1$1,442+$1,442