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skk1ch

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x3496…8fc4 with our methodology badges per row.

0x349606c1b77f3ba668879cbc9347f15a44cf8fc4·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
48
lifetime
PnL per $
-0%
historical realized
Win rate
28.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$439.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 48 resolved trades · -0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
56
Distinct markets
25
Volume (90d)
$630.3K
avg $11.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$339.1K / $291.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 56 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 08:06 PMWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.005$2,373
Jun 20, 07:00 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.320$56.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:00 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.320$47.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:00 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.320$23.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 08:54 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.090$1,090Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 08:53 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.119$5,972Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 08:38 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.100$2,474Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 07:05 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.470$6,272
Jun 10, 08:34 PMPortugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.990$14.8K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 07:53 PMPortugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.508$1,773
Jun 6, 08:04 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.207$35.0K— (SELL)
Jun 6, 08:00 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.213$4,311— (SELL)
Jun 6, 07:04 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-06?BUY NO0.308$2,327Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 6, 06:05 PMWill Wales win on 2026-06-06?BUY YES0.399$5,051Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 08:05 PMWill Malta win on 2026-06-05?SELL YES0.999$14.5K— (SELL)
Jun 5, 07:36 PMWill Malta win on 2026-06-05?BUY YES0.696$1,583Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 06:30 PMWill Slovakia win on 2026-06-05?SELL NO0.990$1,980— (SELL)
Jun 5, 05:44 PMWill Slovakia win on 2026-06-05?BUY NO0.560$1,120
Jun 3, 07:28 PMWill Israel win on 2026-06-03?SELL NO0.800$3,873— (SELL)
Jun 3, 07:23 PMWill Israel win on 2026-06-03?SELL NO0.791$1,020— (SELL)
Jun 3, 06:36 PMWill Israel win on 2026-06-03?BUY NO0.750$6,642Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 08:43 PMWill Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw?SELL YES0.990$1,980— (SELL)
Jun 2, 08:28 PMWill Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw?SELL YES0.223$1,418— (SELL)
Jun 2, 04:18 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-02?BUY NO0.680$3,115Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 04:10 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-02?BUY NO0.690$5,843Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 03:50 PMWill Slovakia win on 2026-06-01?BUY NO0.193$4,197Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 06:42 PMWill Germany win on 2026-05-31?BUY NO0.120$1,887Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 02:22 PMWill Czechia win on 2026-05-31?BUY NO0.300$5,000Cheap band — no rep
May 31, 01:57 PMWill Czechia win on 2026-05-31?BUY NO0.500$3,420
May 31, 03:04 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL YES0.999$169.4K— (SELL)
May 30, 07:03 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$1,869— (SELL)
May 30, 04:20 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.540$4,036
May 30, 04:19 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.544$18.0K
May 29, 08:40 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.439$1,047
May 29, 08:39 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.438$15.5K
May 29, 08:23 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.435$28.7K
May 29, 03:27 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.420$10.2K
May 29, 11:01 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.269$16.4KCheap band — no rep
May 29, 10:01 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.263$4,705Cheap band — no rep
May 24, 10:33 PMWill Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?SELL YES0.999$16.4K— (SELL)
May 16, 09:56 PMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?SELL NO0.729$19.0K— (SELL)
May 16, 09:56 PMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?SELL NO0.332$5,627— (SELL)
May 16, 12:43 PMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY YES0.091$4,533Killed band — neutral expectation
May 16, 12:24 PMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.777$3,884Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 12:24 PMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.775$3,873Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 12:16 PMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.766$2,908Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 12:14 PMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY YES0.075$1,350Killed band — neutral expectation
May 16, 12:14 PMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY YES0.074$1,474Killed band — neutral expectation
May 16, 12:00 PMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.643$2,393Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 11:44 AMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.540$1,329
May 16, 10:54 AMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.520$2,548
May 16, 10:54 AMWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY YES0.420$1,680
May 16, 10:52 AMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY YES0.750$4,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:23 AMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.774$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:14 AMWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY YES0.640$1,920Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:03 AMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY YES0.081$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

25 markets · sorted by volume