| Jun 13, 07:05 AM | Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $1,042 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 06:49 AM | Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.600 | $7,800 | —— |
| Jun 13, 06:47 AM | Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.720 | $7,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $18.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 02:33 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.590 | $2,467 | —— |
| May 26, 02:32 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.580 | $4,696 | —— |
| May 26, 02:29 PM | 0x90e83bc1 | SELL NO | 0.696 | $1,422 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 02:26 PM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $9,874 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:50 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $6,746 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 11:56 AM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $3,257 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 11:54 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $22.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 08:10 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY NO | 0.966 | $4,155 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 08:01 PM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $4,898 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 07:58 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $1,386 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 07:11 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $4,838 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 06:58 PM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $9,788 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 06:33 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $17.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 06:12 PM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $3,680 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 05:26 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $4,780 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 24, 02:52 PM | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $33.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 24, 02:41 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $14.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 09:26 PM | 0x7ed87d93 | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,056 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 07:15 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $6,930 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 07:10 PM | 0xab73f040 | BUY NO | 0.993 | $2,974 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 07:02 PM | 0x1f38f97b | BUY YES | 0.986 | $1,974 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 06:15 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,507 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 06:04 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.700 | $1,611 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 06:02 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.700 | $1,466 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 06:00 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.688 | $2,753 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:58 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,296 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:57 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,296 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:56 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,296 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:54 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.693 | $1,108 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:51 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,275 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:51 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,417 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:49 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,275 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:48 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,015 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:47 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,304 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:46 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,262 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:45 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,262 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:43 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.704 | $1,689 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:41 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.704 | $2,818 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:57 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $40.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 09:53 AM | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.956 | $1,911 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:49 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.968 | $1,545 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:48 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $2,455 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:47 AM | 0x75158a53 | SELL NO | 0.857 | $4,182 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:44 AM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.980 | $6,092 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:43 AM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $5,644 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:42 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $8,010 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:41 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.913 | $8,673 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 9, 08:51 AM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $6,495 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 08:50 AM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.981 | $6,098 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 08:38 AM | Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $9,079 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 08:37 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $8,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |