| Jun 9, 02:10 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.310 | $3,409 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 02:58 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.280 | $1,179 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 2, 01:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $3,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:46 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $4,650 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:12 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $2,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:04 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.972 | $9,723 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 03:41 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $3,080 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 01:43 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.500 | $1,143 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 03:35 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,708 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 02:31 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $9,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 11:34 AM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.832 | $2,591 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 05:37 AM | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.993 | $2,327 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 05:21 AM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $2,296 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 01:00 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $5,280 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 04:50 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 03:03 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $34.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 02:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $3,972 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 02:40 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $1,986 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 01:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $1,986 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 12:44 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $8,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 12:15 PM | Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $1,032 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 11:12 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $5,375 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 10:09 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $11.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 10:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $10.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 10:01 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $4,935 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 09:12 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $9,870 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 12:51 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $1,516 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 10:48 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $6,937 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 03:41 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $1,821 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 03:34 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $2,020 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 03:28 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $1,976 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 11:36 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $5,061 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 11:33 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $3,788 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 01:30 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.680 | $3,400 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 01:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.700 | $1,184 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 01:19 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.230 | $2,604 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 02:42 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $2,250 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 02:36 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $3,600 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 02:29 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.877 | $2,017 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 02:23 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $11.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 09:20 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.863 | $1,261 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 06:47 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $3,272 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 06:45 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.450 | $3,206 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 05:25 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $2,423 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 01:43 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $1,188 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 02:19 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.280 | $1,061 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 7, 02:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.260 | $2,423 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 7, 01:55 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.590 | $2,950 | —— |
| May 7, 01:47 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.420 | $1,680 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 01:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.570 | $5,700 | —— |
| May 7, 01:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $1,100 | —— |
| May 7, 01:19 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $3,420 | —— |
| May 6, 10:58 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.443 | $3,541 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 16, 02:14 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $3,903 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 02:09 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.810 | $11.7K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 08:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.620 | $2,489 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |