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caicai888888
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2d7b…e2ce with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
10
lifetime
PnL per $
-3%
historical realized
Win rate
47.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$149.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 10 resolved trades · -3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
10
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$149.9K
avg $15.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$103.5K / $46.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 10 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 05:20 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $70.6K | — |
| May 29, 05:06 PM | Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29? | SELL NO | 0.440 | $1,320 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 04:57 PM | Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29? | SELL NO | 0.430 | $1,001 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 06:44 PM | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY NO | 0.360 | $10.5K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 02:59 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY NO | 0.480 | $1,615 | — |
| May 17, 02:32 PM | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $1,624 | — |
| May 14, 12:25 PM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | BUY NO | 0.490 | $5,462 | — |
| May 14, 12:25 PM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | BUY NO | 0.490 | $11.6K | — |
| May 13, 06:42 PM | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? | BUY NO | 0.250 | $2,157 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 13, 04:38 PM | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? | SELL YES | 0.460 | $44.0K | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
8 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 1 | $70.6K | +$70.6K |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? | Other | 1 | $44.0K | $-44,023 |
| Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | Other | 2 | $17.1K | +$17.1K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? | Other | 1 | $10.5K | +$10.5K |
| Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29? | Other | 2 | $2,321 | $-2,321 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? | Other | 1 | $2,157 | +$2,157 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? | Other | 1 | $1,624 | +$1,624 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? | Other | 1 | $1,615 | +$1,615 |