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Mentallyillgambld
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2b3f…3446 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
+31%
historical realized
Win rate
49.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$633.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · 31% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
89
Distinct markets
35
Volume (90d)
$3.44M
avg $38.7K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$3.31M / $127.7K
net direction
Recent trades
last 89 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 06:07 PM | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $322.0K | — |
| Jun 11, 09:48 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $25.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 09:48 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $14.5K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 09:39 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.782 | $18.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:30 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.380 | $29.4K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 09:30 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.784 | $28.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:18 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.380 | $144.1K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 09:07 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $26.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 08:11 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.786 | $16.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:08 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $8,872 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 08:07 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.792 | $4,123 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:07 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.792 | $3,985 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:59 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.801 | $9,069 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:59 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.801 | $27.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:55 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.802 | $1,368 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:54 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.803 | $1,479 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:07 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $61.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:53 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.803 | $12.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:29 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.804 | $2,337 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:29 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.804 | $2,360 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 06:01 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.784 | $2,702 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 10:15 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.791 | $1,003 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 09:03 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.364 | $2,029 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 06:43 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.368 | $3,676 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 06:43 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.368 | $9,360 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 04:34 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.363 | $1,673 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 9, 05:32 PM | 0x21bd4002 | BUY | 0.640 | $101.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 05:30 PM | 0x32ec519e | BUY | 0.460 | $61.7K | — |
| Apr 9, 12:49 PM | 0x4ff62509 | BUY | 0.480 | $9,643 | — |
| Apr 9, 05:23 AM | 0xe3e11359 | BUY YES | 0.038 | $1,061 | — |
| Apr 9, 04:57 AM | 0xffdbbf2c | BUY YES | 0.140 | $10.2K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 6, 06:52 PM | 0x3ca7c5f7 | BUY | 0.740 | $33.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 06:52 PM | 0x3ca7c5f7 | BUY | 0.740 | $954.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 07:37 PM | 0x8dab9a72 | BUY | 0.620 | $53.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 07:01 PM | 0x8dab9a72 | BUY | 0.610 | $18.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 12:27 AM | 0xee5c40e5 | BUY | 0.470 | $1,580 | — |
| Apr 5, 12:27 AM | 0x05eec7f9 | BUY | 0.500 | $49.3K | — |
| Apr 5, 12:26 AM | 0xee5c40e5 | BUY | 0.470 | $71.8K | — |
| Apr 4, 11:09 PM | 0xf01f219b | BUY | 0.310 | $49.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 3, 11:09 PM | 0x8fd44217 | BUY | 0.500 | $8,304 | — |
| Apr 3, 11:09 PM | 0x8fd44217 | BUY | 0.500 | $24.7K | — |
| Apr 3, 11:09 PM | 0x531f2d29 | BUY | 0.920 | $11.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 11:08 PM | 0x8fd44217 | BUY | 0.500 | $24.7K | — |
| Apr 3, 11:05 PM | 0x531f2d29 | BUY | 0.920 | $78.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 11:04 PM | 0x8fd44217 | BUY | 0.500 | $32.1K | — |
| Apr 3, 11:04 PM | 0x8fd44217 | BUY | 0.490 | $27.9K | — |
| Apr 3, 05:05 PM | 0x21f4ad71 | BUY | 0.730 | $91.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 05:05 PM | 0x21f4ad71 | BUY | 0.730 | $67.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 05:03 PM | 0x21f4ad71 | BUY | 0.720 | $102.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 30, 01:55 AM | 0xa5136399 | BUY | 0.520 | $74.2K | — |
| Mar 29, 07:44 PM | 0x6d8082cb | BUY | 0.480 | $70.0K | — |
| Mar 29, 04:14 PM | 0x8b4d2c61 | BUY | 0.475 | $3,959 | — |
| Mar 29, 04:13 PM | 0x8b4d2c61 | BUY | 0.480 | $52.7K | — |
| Mar 29, 04:04 PM | 0x8b4d2c61 | BUY | 0.475 | $7,555 | — |
| Mar 29, 12:38 AM | 0xd9c361b8 | BUY | 0.549 | $3,508 | — |
| Mar 29, 12:37 AM | 0xd9c361b8 | BUY | 0.550 | $23.0K | — |
| Mar 29, 12:34 AM | 0x3a243e36 | BUY | 0.510 | $10.3K | — |
| Mar 29, 12:31 AM | 0x7e0a944a | BUY | 0.290 | $21.8K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 29, 12:30 AM | 0x3a243e36 | BUY | 0.500 | $1,245 | — |
| Mar 28, 09:50 PM | 0x7f530948 | BUY | 0.540 | $35.9K | — |
| Mar 28, 09:30 PM | 0x17dafc4d | BUY | 0.559 | $55.0K | — |
| Mar 28, 01:41 AM | 0x44924c7b | BUY | 0.690 | $59.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 08:50 PM | 0xee09e7ad | BUY | 0.515 | $29.8K | — |
| Mar 27, 08:49 PM | 0xee09e7ad | BUY | 0.490 | $2,001 | — |
| Mar 27, 08:40 PM | 0xee09e7ad | BUY | 0.510 | $4,319 | — |
| Mar 24, 02:16 PM | 0xd5565995 | BUY | 0.780 | $13.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 02:14 PM | 0xd5565995 | BUY | 0.780 | $27.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 02:28 AM | 0xee2e5609 | BUY | 0.130 | $8,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 24, 01:36 AM | 0xd08e40d2 | BUY | 0.440 | $11.7K | — |
| Mar 24, 12:51 AM | 0x2442fd43 | BUY | 0.530 | $10.4K | — |
| Mar 24, 12:38 AM | 0x2442fd43 | BUY | 0.250 | $1,123 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 24, 12:37 AM | 0x2442fd43 | BUY | 0.250 | $1,115 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 24, 12:35 AM | 0x2442fd43 | BUY | 0.260 | $1,594 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 24, 12:33 AM | 0x2442fd43 | BUY | 0.250 | $1,603 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 24, 12:32 AM | 0x2442fd43 | BUY | 0.210 | $1,035 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 24, 12:31 AM | 0x2442fd43 | BUY | 0.210 | $1,101 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 24, 12:29 AM | 0x2442fd43 | BUY | 0.210 | $1,414 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 23, 08:54 PM | 0xabb64505 | BUY | 0.870 | $16.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 08:12 PM | 0xabb64505 | BUY | 0.870 | $17.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 08:02 PM | 0x4f772e06 | BUY | 0.860 | $5,703 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 07:51 PM | 0x4f772e06 | BUY | 0.850 | $5,715 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 07:43 PM | 0x4f772e06 | BUY | 0.850 | $6,436 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 06:14 PM | 0x4f772e06 | BUY | 0.840 | $33.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 03:41 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.900 | $4,579 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 03:32 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.830 | $3,645 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 03:32 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.830 | $5,612 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 02:44 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.800 | $20.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 02:44 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.790 | $3,326 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 03:46 AM | 0x261619a0 | BUY | 0.998 | $119.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
35 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3ca7c5f7 | — | 2 | $987.9K | +$987.9K |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 1 | $322.0K | +$322.0K |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 7 | $311.3K | +$311.3K |
| 0x21f4ad71 | — | 3 | $261.6K | +$261.6K |
| 0x261619a0 | — | 1 | $119.1K | +$119.1K |
| 0x8fd44217 | — | 5 | $117.6K | +$117.6K |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 10 | $111.3K | $-85,219 |
| 0x21bd4002 | — | 1 | $101.1K | +$101.1K |
| 0x531f2d29 | — | 2 | $89.9K | +$89.9K |
| 0xa5136399 | — | 1 | $74.2K | +$74.2K |
| 0xee5c40e5 | — | 2 | $73.4K | +$73.4K |
| 0x8dab9a72 | — | 2 | $71.5K | +$71.5K |
| 0x6d8082cb | — | 1 | $70.0K | +$70.0K |
| 0x8b4d2c61 | — | 3 | $64.2K | +$64.2K |
| 0x32ec519e | — | 1 | $61.7K | +$61.7K |
| 0x44924c7b | — | 1 | $59.8K | +$59.8K |
| 0x17dafc4d | — | 1 | $55.0K | +$55.0K |
| 0x4f772e06 | — | 4 | $51.6K | +$51.6K |
| 0x05eec7f9 | — | 1 | $49.3K | +$49.3K |
| 0xf01f219b | — | 1 | $49.0K | +$49.0K |
| 0xd5565995 | — | 2 | $40.5K | +$40.5K |
| 0x6da6c9ee | — | 5 | $37.9K | +$37.9K |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 8 | $36.8K | $-22,066 |
| 0xee09e7ad | — | 3 | $36.1K | +$36.1K |
| 0x7f530948 | — | 1 | $35.9K | +$35.9K |
| 0xabb64505 | — | 2 | $33.5K | +$33.5K |
| 0xd9c361b8 | — | 2 | $26.5K | +$26.5K |
| 0x7e0a944a | — | 1 | $21.8K | +$21.8K |
| 0x2442fd43 | — | 8 | $19.4K | +$19.4K |
| 0xd08e40d2 | — | 1 | $11.7K | +$11.7K |
Showing top 30 by volume.