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Numberone11

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x28b3…30c8 with our methodology badges per row.

0x28b340ecf1a193607e177312849bfc2f79a730c8·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-57%
historical realized
Win rate
42.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$209.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -57% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$356.0K
avg $20.9K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$174.2K / $181.8K
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Apr 28, 02:15 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.161$9,915— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:51 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.169$23.1K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:50 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.170$23.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 01:50 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL NO0.997$29.9K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 12:48 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.915$28.0K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 09:03 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$30.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 08:47 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.996$29.9K— (SELL)
Apr 23, 04:47 PMWill MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.997$24.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 09:58 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.996$29.9K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 02:17 PMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.996$29.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 07:11 AMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.997$29.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 11:11 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.996$19.9K— (SELL)
Apr 4, 05:51 PMOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL NO0.602$1,276— (SELL)
Apr 1, 01:48 PMOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY NO0.650$2,925Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 07:00 AM0x5a200d7dBUY NO0.995$9,950Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 06:46 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.995$9,950— (SELL)
Mar 28, 08:41 AMOver $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY YES0.998$23.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

10 markets · sorted by volume