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0x274C45994BfA0912cf8bEe503190952E6Af7DA86-1772189577856
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x274c…da86 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
+47%
historical realized
Win rate
85.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$44.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · 47% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
8
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$60.8K
avg $7,597 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$60.8K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 8 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 06:51 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $1,500 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 06:51 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.110 | $1,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 2, 03:29 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.358 | $15.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 21, 03:47 PM | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.025 | $1,000 | — |
| May 7, 12:33 PM | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $37.8K | — |
| Apr 8, 05:24 PM | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.036 | $1,500 | — |
| Mar 27, 11:36 PM | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.590 | $1,000 | — |
| Mar 27, 12:37 AM | 0x854f2be2 | BUY | 0.570 | $2,000 | — |
Markets active in
8 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Other | 1 | $37.8K | +$37.8K |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 1 | $15.0K | +$15.0K |
| 0x854f2be2 | — | 1 | $2,000 | +$2,000 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $1,500 | +$1,500 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Other | 1 | $1,500 | +$1,500 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |