sdhyky

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x264c…baca with our methodology badges per row.

0x264cbb7263b0c336c58fb5a5de1773896e6bbaca·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-16%

historical realized

Win rate

47.8%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$286.6K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 92 resolved trades · -16% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$685.2K

avg $3,426 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$404.8K / $280.4K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 12, 01:57 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.960	$4,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:47 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?	BUY NO	0.750	$1,445	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:34 AM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.919	$5,581	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 02:12 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL YES	0.705	$1,560	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 11:32 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?	BUY NO	0.421	$1,233	—
Jun 8, 05:25 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL YES	0.721	$7,206	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 04:39 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.680	$4,760	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:57 PM	Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.570	$1,710	—
Jun 7, 06:17 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	BUY NO	0.600	$1,968	—
Jun 7, 06:12 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?	BUY NO	0.687	$3,434	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 06:10 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?	BUY NO	0.580	$2,609	—
Jun 6, 06:54 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?	BUY NO	0.308	$1,313	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 2, 09:27 PM	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	SELL NO	0.936	$3,466	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 04:55 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	SELL YES	0.720	$10.8K	— (SELL)
May 31, 11:01 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	BUY NO	0.910	$4,186	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:56 AM	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	BUY YES	0.469	$1,877	—
May 30, 04:56 AM	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.660	$1,980	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 09:21 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.998	$9,980	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 01:35 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.920	$3,680	— (SELL)
May 28, 01:35 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.710	$2,840	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 07:11 PM	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.988	$1,976	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:30 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	BUY YES	0.999	$4,718	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:24 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	BUY YES	0.875	$1,052	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:11 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	SELL YES	0.758	$4,090	— (SELL)
May 24, 05:09 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.720	$1,420	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 05:09 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY YES	0.770	$4,620	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:58 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY YES	0.770	$1,784	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:54 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY YES	0.740	$2,048	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:52 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.650	$1,300	— (SELL)
May 24, 02:31 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.650	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:30 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	SELL NO	0.890	$3,177	— (SELL)
May 24, 02:29 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	BUY NO	0.800	$1,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:28 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	BUY NO	0.800	$2,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 09:01 PM	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	SELL NO	0.771	$3,485	— (SELL)
May 23, 08:41 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.870	$1,180	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:38 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	BUY YES	0.979	$1,941	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:38 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	BUY YES	0.910	$1,820	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 06:43 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	SELL NO	0.620	$1,860	— (SELL)
May 23, 06:43 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.545	$1,636	— (SELL)
May 23, 04:30 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	BUY NO	0.563	$1,447	—
May 23, 04:29 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	BUY YES	0.578	$2,026	—
May 23, 02:13 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY YES	0.710	$2,130	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 10:12 AM	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	SELL YES	0.336	$1,371	— (SELL)
May 23, 10:11 AM	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	SELL YES	0.337	$1,476	— (SELL)
May 23, 03:48 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	BUY NO	0.910	$2,730	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 09:50 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	BUY YES	0.940	$9,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 09:37 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	SELL NO	0.867	$1,379	— (SELL)
May 22, 09:34 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	SELL NO	0.854	$1,027	— (SELL)
May 20, 03:23 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	BUY NO	0.739	$1,025	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 03:22 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	BUY NO	0.720	$1,574	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 07:56 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	BUY NO	0.640	$3,840	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 07:21 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.850	$10.2K	— (SELL)
May 18, 06:55 PM	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	BUY NO	0.739	$1,035	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 06:39 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.930	$5,580	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 12:51 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.876	$12.3K	— (SELL)
May 17, 07:37 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	BUY NO	0.498	$1,884	—
May 17, 01:15 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	SELL NO	0.600	$1,722	— (SELL)
May 17, 12:48 AM	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	SELL NO	0.650	$1,300	— (SELL)
May 16, 04:40 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	SELL YES	0.578	$1,345	— (SELL)
May 13, 05:03 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	BUY YES	0.587	$1,634	—
May 13, 08:58 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	BUY NO	0.530	$1,592	—
May 13, 07:11 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?	BUY NO	0.528	$1,249	—
May 13, 06:47 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	BUY NO	0.520	$1,064	—
May 12, 08:22 PM	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.983	$3,439	— (SELL)
May 12, 12:06 AM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	SELL YES	0.660	$2,300	— (SELL)
May 11, 02:22 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	BUY NO	0.640	$1,825	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 02:19 PM	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	BUY YES	0.590	$1,934	—
May 9, 02:27 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.877	$11.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 04:36 AM	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.965	$1,930	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 04:23 AM	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,455	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 04:11 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	SELL NO	0.982	$4,018	— (SELL)
May 5, 03:11 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	BUY NO	0.978	$4,002	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 02:22 AM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.322	$1,608	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 1, 11:40 PM	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL NO	0.680	$2,754	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 03:21 PM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.316	$1,027	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 29, 01:49 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	SELL NO	0.809	$7,200	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 12:39 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	BUY YES	0.948	$1,256	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 03:28 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	SELL YES	0.591	$1,270	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:45 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	SELL YES	0.573	$4,202	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:05 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	BUY YES	0.440	$1,598	—
Apr 28, 04:58 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.350	$1,750	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 03:05 PM	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	SELL NO	0.995	$2,985	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:30 PM	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY NO	0.762	$3,811	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 02:12 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.163	$13.1K	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:08 PM	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL NO	0.968	$12.6K	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 07:38 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	SELL YES	0.796	$1,548	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 07:32 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	BUY YES	0.750	$1,188	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 06:09 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	SELL YES	0.682	$3,583	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 05:36 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	BUY YES	0.613	$2,244	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 04:18 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	SELL YES	0.641	$2,826	— (SELL)
Apr 28, 03:02 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	BUY YES	0.526	$1,240	—
Apr 27, 07:17 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	SELL YES	0.965	$1,302	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 05:10 PM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	BUY YES	0.850	$1,101	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 02:46 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	SELL YES	0.448	$1,566	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 02:32 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	BUY YES	0.410	$1,248	—
Apr 26, 07:42 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.827	$2,199	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 04:39 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL YES	0.630	$6,300	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:49 AM	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY NO	0.800	$9,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 06:02 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 22?	SELL YES	0.681	$2,510	— (SELL)
Apr 22, 05:22 AM	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 22?	BUY YES	0.592	$1,432	—
Apr 22, 01:42 AM	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	SELL NO	0.966	$1,933	— (SELL)
Apr 22, 01:40 AM	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY YES	0.850	$2,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 01:40 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	SELL NO	0.991	$2,973	— (SELL)
Apr 22, 01:40 AM	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY YES	0.850	$5,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 01:37 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	SELL NO	0.991	$5,946	— (SELL)
Apr 22, 12:12 AM	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 22?	BUY	0.730	$1,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 09:08 PM	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY NO	0.695	$1,391	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 08:21 PM	US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	SELL YES	0.811	$8,340	— (SELL)
Apr 21, 08:18 PM	US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	BUY YES	0.828	$8,432	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 07:37 PM	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY NO	0.790	$9,480	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 06:26 AM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.234	$7,016	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 19, 06:26 AM	0xe8f8bc52	BUY YES	0.180	$1,800	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 18, 06:48 PM	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	BUY NO	0.975	$1,899	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 09:27 AM	0x6b903a66	SELL NO	0.990	$1,360	— (SELL)
Apr 17, 08:25 PM	0xcec9024b	BUY YES	0.955	$1,910	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 03:11 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.340	$1,165	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 12:44 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.650	$7,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 01:25 PM	0x9dbee392	BUY	0.740	$1,567	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 05:01 PM	0xcec9024b	BUY YES	0.915	$1,372	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 07:42 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	SELL YES	0.987	$9,870	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 10:01 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	SELL YES	0.980	$3,914	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 08:48 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	SELL NO	0.968	$1,937	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 08:14 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	BUY YES	0.850	$2,535	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 07:38 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY YES	0.992	$2,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 07:12 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY YES	0.980	$1,960	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:36 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY YES	0.950	$1,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 05:43 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	SELL NO	0.970	$11.6K	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 04:27 AM	0xfcde02af	BUY YES	0.779	$2,662	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 04:27 AM	0xa312499c	BUY NO	0.780	$1,476	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 04:26 AM	0xa312499c	BUY NO	0.770	$7,365	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 04:15 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	SELL NO	0.243	$2,679	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 03:46 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	SELL NO	0.270	$1,218	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 02:38 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	BUY YES	0.650	$2,564	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 02:03 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	SELL YES	0.804	$1,608	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 11:13 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	SELL NO	0.290	$2,900	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 05:56 AM	0xfcde02af	BUY YES	0.760	$7,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:30 PM	0x35a9af37	BUY	0.990	$1,980	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:30 PM	0x35a9af37	BUY	0.990	$9,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 08:50 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	BUY YES	0.999	$12.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 01:42 PM	0x7ac4e806	BUY	0.999	$1,998	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 01:30 PM	0x7ac4e806	BUY	0.967	$3,856	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:44 AM	0xbc0a2d49	SELL YES	0.999	$12.0K	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 10:38 PM	0xbc0a2d49	SELL YES	0.970	$1,158	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 10:33 PM	0xbc0a2d49	BUY YES	0.931	$3,882	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:03 PM	0xbc0a2d49	BUY YES	0.689	$1,379	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 06:25 AM	0xdec60e13	SELL	0.763	$2,567	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 06:19 AM	0xdec60e13	BUY	0.760	$2,366	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 05:32 AM	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY YES	0.850	$1,019	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 02:10 AM	0xdec60e13	SELL	0.705	$2,185	— (SELL)
Apr 6, 05:43 AM	0x14019ad2	BUY	0.438	$1,503	—
Apr 6, 02:17 AM	0x14019ad2	SELL	0.500	$1,000	— (SELL)
Apr 4, 05:54 AM	0xaf295ab6	SELL	0.490	$3,177	— (SELL)
Apr 4, 12:54 AM	0xaf295ab6	BUY	0.500	$9,850	—
Apr 3, 01:01 PM	0x14019ad2	BUY	0.595	$2,735	—
Apr 2, 01:46 AM	0x18c58a6b	SELL	0.815	$1,075	— (SELL)
Apr 2, 01:16 AM	0x18c58a6b	BUY	0.600	$1,349	—
Apr 1, 03:54 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	BUY YES	0.992	$1,718	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 03:32 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	BUY YES	0.979	$1,103	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 10:57 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	SELL NO	0.950	$3,800	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 10:16 PM	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	BUY YES	0.720	$1,416	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 06:54 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY YES	0.630	$6,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:39 PM	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	BUY YES	0.760	$3,040	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:09 PM	0x814657a1	SELL NO	0.996	$9,960	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 05:08 PM	0xf6890c70	BUY NO	0.949	$2,694	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 11:19 AM	0x6c221f0a	BUY	0.910	$3,270	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 01:48 AM	0x814657a1	BUY NO	0.935	$1,402	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 01:34 AM	0x814657a1	BUY NO	0.950	$2,850	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 01:14 AM	0xf6890c70	BUY NO	0.530	$1,289	—
Mar 31, 01:14 AM	0xf6890c70	BUY NO	0.530	$2,650	—
Mar 31, 01:09 AM	0xf6890c70	SELL NO	0.505	$1,965	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 12:48 AM	0xf6890c70	BUY NO	0.450	$1,580	—
Mar 30, 11:13 PM	0x6c221f0a	BUY	0.479	$3,187	—
Mar 30, 07:11 PM	0x814657a1	SELL NO	0.902	$1,144	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 01:30 PM	0xc4aca144	BUY	0.999	$4,260	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 10:06 PM	0xc4aca144	BUY	0.670	$1,079	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 04:12 PM	0xc4aca144	SELL	0.371	$3,922	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 04:06 PM	0xc4aca144	BUY	0.320	$3,197	Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 29, 04:46 AM	0xc4aca144	SELL	0.590	$1,565	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 04:00 AM	0xc4aca144	BUY	0.582	$1,493	—
Mar 29, 03:50 AM	0xc4aca144	SELL	0.596	$5,959	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 02:17 AM	0xc4aca144	BUY	0.620	$6,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 01:47 AM	0xc4aca144	SELL	0.390	$7,619	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 01:39 AM	0xc4aca144	BUY	0.378	$7,567	Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 29, 01:16 AM	0xc4aca144	SELL	0.660	$5,885	— (SELL)
Mar 29, 01:12 AM	0xc4aca144	BUY	0.584	$5,839	—
Mar 28, 11:25 PM	0xc5300759	BUY YES	0.749	$2,248	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 06:31 PM	0xf64f880b	SELL NO	0.929	$1,857	— (SELL)
Mar 27, 06:31 PM	0x814657a1	BUY NO	0.798	$1,597	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 06:04 PM	0x45ef9314	BUY YES	0.990	$2,822	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 11:45 PM	0xfcde02af	BUY YES	0.630	$6,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 01:05 PM	0xa6ed8b33	SELL	0.960	$1,440	— (SELL)
Mar 24, 02:51 AM	0xa6ed8b33	BUY	0.683	$1,025	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 10:35 PM	0x6c310d72	BUY YES	0.993	$8,937	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 09:37 PM	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	BUY YES	0.771	$1,542	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 09:06 PM	0xf64f880b	BUY NO	0.916	$3,663	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 05:41 PM	0x6c310d72	BUY YES	0.879	$2,373	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 03:29 PM	0x6c310d72	SELL YES	0.871	$3,482	— (SELL)
Mar 23, 03:23 PM	0x6c310d72	BUY YES	0.881	$1,806	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 03:08 PM	0x6c310d72	BUY YES	0.895	$5,328	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 01:21 PM	0x814657a1	SELL NO	0.814	$1,629	— (SELL)

Markets active in

77 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
0xc4aca144	—	12	$54.6K	+$4,684
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Other	8	$37.4K	$-20,774
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	8	$35.3K	$-621
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Other	8	$29.8K	$-3,532
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Other	5	$26.3K	$-26,296
0x6c310d72	—	5	$21.9K	+$15.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Other	5	$21.4K	$-218
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Other	2	$19.1K	+$19.1K
0x814657a1	—	6	$18.6K	$-6,883
0xbc0a2d49	—	4	$18.4K	$-7,885
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Other	2	$16.8K	+$92
0xfcde02af	—	3	$16.6K	+$16.6K
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	4	$15.2K	+$15.2K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$13.1K	$-13,052
0xaf295ab6	—	2	$13.0K	+$6,673
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	Finance	6	$12.6K	$-3,285
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	1	$12.6K	$-12,584
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Tech	3	$12.2K	+$6,553
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Other	4	$12.2K	$-1,750
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Other	1	$12.0K	+$12.0K
0x35a9af37	—	2	$11.9K	+$11.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Other	1	$11.4K	+$11.4K
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Finance	6	$10.3K	+$3,001
0xf6890c70	—	5	$10.2K	+$6,247
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Other	1	$9,980	+$9,980
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Other	2	$9,399	$-5,000
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Other	3	$9,012	+$1,184
0xa312499c	—	2	$8,841	+$8,841
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	3	$8,669	+$8,669
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Other	4	$8,590	+$4,870

Showing top 30 by volume.