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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2643…39ae with our methodology badges per row.

0x26437896ed9dfeb2f69765edcafe8fdceaab39ae·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
71
lifetime
PnL per $
-39%
historical realized
Win rate
36.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$3.01M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 71 resolved trades · -39% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
22
Volume (90d)
$8.00M
avg $40.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$3.55M / $4.45M
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 10:03 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$150.4K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 07:43 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.670$100.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:54 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?SELL YES0.982$702.0K— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:03 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.480$1,328
Jun 13, 01:02 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.487$19.5K
Jun 13, 01:02 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.480$19.2K
Jun 13, 01:02 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.499$26.8K
Jun 13, 01:02 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.480$260.4K
Jun 11, 09:59 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$59.4K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:59 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$201.3K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:59 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$1,513— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:59 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$575.3K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 01:46 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$2,800Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:46 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$3,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:46 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$28.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$3,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:45 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:44 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:44 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:44 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$3,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:44 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:44 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:44 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:44 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.700$28.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 07:39 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?SELL YES0.530$15.9K— (SELL)
May 7, 07:39 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?SELL YES0.566$24.4K— (SELL)
May 7, 07:39 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?SELL YES0.543$13.6K— (SELL)
May 7, 07:39 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?SELL YES0.584$29.4K— (SELL)
May 7, 06:44 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$1,333
May 7, 06:44 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$2,400
May 7, 06:44 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$2,400
May 7, 06:43 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$3,000
May 7, 06:43 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$18.0K
May 7, 06:43 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$18.0K
May 7, 06:43 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$1,800
May 7, 06:43 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$12.0K
May 7, 06:43 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$12.0K
May 7, 06:43 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.600$12.0K
May 7, 06:25 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.590$5,951
May 5, 09:08 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?SELL YES0.999$160.9K— (SELL)
May 5, 03:54 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.620$1,240Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:53 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.620$6,200Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:53 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.620$6,200Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:53 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.620$12.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:52 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.610$3,836Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:52 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.610$5,826Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:52 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.610$18.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:52 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.610$18.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:52 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.610$1,220Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:52 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.610$12.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:52 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY YES0.610$12.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 12:23 AMNuggets vs. TimberwolvesBUY YES0.540$4,260
Apr 26, 12:23 AMNuggets vs. TimberwolvesBUY YES0.540$26.6K
Apr 26, 12:22 AMNuggets vs. TimberwolvesBUY YES0.530$27.2K
Apr 26, 12:21 AMNuggets vs. TimberwolvesBUY YES0.530$10.0K
Apr 25, 06:14 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.380$2,204Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 06:01 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.410$2,066
Apr 25, 05:59 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.372$1,823Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 05:59 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.390$2,647Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 05:59 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.399$7,828Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 05:58 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.400$3,928Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 05:58 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.400$3,391Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 05:57 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.426$13.3K
Apr 25, 05:55 PMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.400$8,827Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 15, 06:17 PMBoston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.499$3,787
Apr 15, 06:16 PMBoston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.540$6,385
Apr 15, 06:16 PMBoston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.562$25.5K
Apr 15, 06:15 PMBoston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.543$19.0K
Apr 15, 06:15 PMBoston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.545$12.7K
Apr 11, 04:10 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.480$4,615
Apr 11, 04:10 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.470$45.9K
Apr 11, 04:10 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.470$23.4K
Apr 11, 04:09 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.470$54.4K
Apr 11, 04:07 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.480$6,330
Apr 11, 04:07 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.480$18.2K
Apr 11, 04:07 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.480$5,570
Apr 11, 04:07 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.479$4,306
Apr 11, 04:07 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.479$5,784
Apr 11, 04:06 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.480$2,212
Apr 11, 04:06 PM0xb17a25f2BUY0.478$27.1K
Apr 11, 03:15 PM0xc76bc114SELL0.999$242.7K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 03:15 PM0xc76bc114SELL0.999$54.1K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 03:15 PM0xc76bc114SELL0.999$61.0K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:52 AM0xc76bc114BUY0.940$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:49 AM0xc76bc114BUY0.940$6,320Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:49 AM0xc76bc114BUY0.940$20.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:49 AM0xc76bc114BUY0.940$7,527Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:48 AM0xc76bc114BUY0.940$53.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:01 AMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersSELL0.999$441.3K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 01:52 AMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.679$1,406Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:51 AMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.680$20.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:49 AMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.670$104.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:49 AMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.670$81.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:49 AMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.670$24.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:48 AMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.670$64.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:45 AM0x571555a7SELL0.999$499.2K— (SELL)
Apr 10, 11:02 PM0x571555a7BUY0.590$1,748
Apr 10, 11:02 PM0x571555a7BUY0.590$17.5K
Apr 10, 11:01 PM0x571555a7BUY0.597$155.9K
Apr 10, 11:01 PM0x571555a7BUY0.590$10.2K
Apr 10, 11:01 PM0x571555a7BUY0.580$9,797
Apr 10, 11:01 PM0x571555a7BUY0.589$67.9K
Apr 10, 11:01 PM0x571555a7BUY0.580$5,727
Apr 10, 11:00 PM0x571555a7BUY0.580$9,686
Apr 10, 11:00 PM0x571555a7BUY0.584$17.3K
Apr 10, 05:50 PM0x0ba8ddd5BUY0.590$64.9K
Apr 10, 05:50 PM0x0ba8ddd5BUY0.590$29.2K
Apr 10, 05:50 PM0x0ba8ddd5BUY0.590$29.1K
Apr 10, 05:49 PM0x0ba8ddd5BUY0.590$35.0K
Apr 10, 05:49 PM0x0ba8ddd5BUY0.590$23.7K
Apr 10, 02:00 AM0x7c3b994dSELL0.999$412.1K— (SELL)
Apr 9, 10:30 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.730$1,825Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:30 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.729$3,645Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:30 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.730$32.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:29 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.720$36.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:29 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.720$43.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:29 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.730$48.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:28 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.730$36.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:28 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.730$51.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:28 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.723$12.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:27 PM0x7c3b994dBUY0.730$22.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 07:31 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$2,052
Apr 8, 07:31 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$2,763
Apr 8, 07:31 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$5,526
Apr 8, 07:31 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$11.1K
Apr 8, 07:31 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$11.1K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$11.1K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$12.3K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$12.3K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$12.3K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$12.3K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$12.3K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$12.3K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$12.3K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$12.3K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$11.1K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$11.1K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$11.1K
Apr 8, 07:30 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$11.1K
Apr 8, 07:29 PM0x354d8c4cBUY0.560$11.3K
Apr 8, 02:59 AM0x343a0314SELL0.999$336.9K— (SELL)
Apr 7, 10:27 PM0x343a0314BUY0.710$2,815Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:27 PM0x343a0314BUY0.710$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:27 PM0x343a0314BUY0.710$14.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:25 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$1,335Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:25 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$6,937Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:25 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:25 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:25 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:25 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:25 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:25 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:24 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:24 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:24 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:24 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:24 PM0x343a0314BUY0.700$10.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:23 PM0x343a0314BUY0.690$2,051Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:23 PM0x343a0314BUY0.690$6,836Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:23 PM0x343a0314BUY0.690$13.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:23 PM0x343a0314BUY0.690$13.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:23 PM0x343a0314BUY0.690$13.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:22 PM0x8ab5da8dSELL0.999$237.9K— (SELL)
Apr 7, 05:56 PM1815851BUY0.580$1,145
Apr 7, 05:56 PM1815851BUY0.580$5,727
Apr 7, 05:56 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:56 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:56 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:56 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:56 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:55 PM1815851BUY0.580$1,145
Apr 7, 05:55 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:55 PM1815851BUY0.580$14.3K
Apr 7, 05:55 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:55 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:55 PM1815851BUY0.580$11.5K
Apr 7, 05:55 PM1815851BUY0.580$5,727
Apr 7, 05:55 PM1815851BUY0.580$5,727
Apr 3, 02:31 AM0x3843aeabSELL0.864$20.9K— (SELL)
Apr 3, 02:28 AM0x3843aeabSELL0.900$21.8K— (SELL)
Apr 3, 02:25 AM0x3843aeabSELL0.900$18.5K— (SELL)
Apr 3, 01:14 AM0x3843aeabBUY0.540$3,994
Apr 3, 01:14 AM0x3843aeabBUY0.540$117.2K
Apr 3, 01:13 AM0x40b063d0SELL0.999$123.5K— (SELL)
Apr 2, 10:15 PM0x40b063d0BUY0.680$53.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 10:15 PM0x40b063d0BUY0.680$29.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 08:19 PM0xd91f9610SELL0.999$49.3K— (SELL)
Apr 2, 05:43 PM0xd91f9610BUY0.539$1,975
Apr 1, 11:30 PM0x98c93075BUY0.640$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 11:26 PM0x98c93075BUY0.640$1,666Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 11:25 PM0x98c93075BUY0.640$9,591Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

22 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Other25$1.43M$-243,193
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other6$1.03M$-374,765
0x571555a710$795.0K$-203,336
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersOther7$737.5K$-145,031
0x7c3b994d11$701.8K$-122,381
0x343a031422$571.7K$-102,149
0xc76bc1148$455.7K$-259,819
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Other12$258.9K$-63,007
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other2$251.3K$-49,529
0x8ab5da8d1$237.9K$-237,934
0x40b063d03$206.8K$-40,254
0xb17a25f211$197.9K+$197.9K
0x354d8c4c19$197.2K+$197.2K
0x3843aeab5$182.4K+$59.9K
0x0ba8ddd55$181.9K+$181.9K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Other15$172.2K+$5,520
181585115$136.9K+$136.9K
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesOther4$68.1K+$68.1K
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsOther5$67.4K+$67.4K
0xd91f96102$51.3K$-47,321
Pistons vs. MagicOther9$46.0K+$46.0K
0x98c930753$24.2K+$24.2K