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mingerr

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2336…9e65 with our methodology badges per row.

0x233687fe4fbb772c2619c0f82a810d780d469e65·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
-73%
historical realized
Win rate
26.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$44.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · -73% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
35
Distinct markets
19
Volume (90d)
$215.5K
avg $6,158 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$45.6K / $169.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 35 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 12, 08:07 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY YES0.998$4,805Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:01 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY YES0.999$4,995Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:50 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.992$4,960— (SELL)
Jun 11, 04:05 AMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?SELL YES0.999$1,631— (SELL)
Jun 9, 07:36 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?BUY YES0.948$1,896Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 06:02 PMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY YES0.999$1,998Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 09:36 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.991$4,955Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:40 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.992$1,984Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:01 PMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.999$5,994— (SELL)
May 22, 02:01 PMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.999$2,497— (SELL)
May 18, 12:33 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.660$1,188— (SELL)
May 17, 10:40 PMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY NO0.980$4,900Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 09:48 PMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?BUY YES0.940$4,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 12:25 AMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?BUY YES0.978$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 08:18 PMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?SELL YES0.977$3,998— (SELL)
Apr 28, 07:06 PMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?SELL YES0.977$2,931— (SELL)
Apr 28, 03:23 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.836$23.4K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:26 PMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.985$25.6K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:06 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.167$2,549— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:04 PMWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL NO0.937$24.4K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:36 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL NO0.790$19.1K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 01:07 PMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.969$21.3K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 12:46 PMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?SELL YES0.979$19.6K— (SELL)
Apr 20, 08:36 PMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?BUY YES0.900$1,587Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 08:35 PMWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?SELL NO0.480$1,534— (SELL)
Apr 20, 08:16 PMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?BUY YES0.900$1,350Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 08:13 PMWill MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.950$1,836Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 07:01 PMWill MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.870$1,731Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 11:09 PM0x68beecc8SELL NO0.816$1,379— (SELL)
Apr 14, 11:09 PM0x68beecc8SELL NO0.817$2,059— (SELL)
Apr 14, 11:08 PM0x68beecc8SELL NO0.820$1,246— (SELL)
Apr 14, 11:06 PM0x68beecc8SELL NO0.821$2,984— (SELL)
Apr 14, 10:37 PM0x68beecc8SELL NO0.821$1,641— (SELL)
Apr 14, 09:26 PM0x68beecc8BUY NO0.986$1,972Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 11:43 AM0x68beecc8BUY NO0.940$1,880Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

19 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Crypto6$34.4K$-18,575
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$25.6K$-25,610
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics1$24.4K$-24,362
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$23.4K$-23,420
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$21.3K$-21,318
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Tech1$19.1K$-19,050
0x68beecc8—7$13.2K$-5,457
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Politics2$10.9K$-1,094
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance2$9,915$-5
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech2$9,800+$9,800
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?Crypto1$4,700+$4,700
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto2$3,568+$3,568
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto2$3,172+$796
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$2,549$-2,549
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Politics1$2,497$-2,497
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Other1$1,998+$1,998
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech1$1,896+$1,896
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics1$1,631$-1,631
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Crypto1$1,534$-1,534