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Ryan888

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x20bc…a3a7 with our methodology badges per row.

0x20bcdf5a9c7696d1134cba8d77067d2a967fa3a7·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
+1%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$2.08M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 12 resolved trades · 1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$2.53M
avg $148.7K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$2.41M / $116.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 21, 02:06 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.917$116.3K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 11:27 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.800$3,080Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:27 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.800$270.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:27 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.785$51.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:32 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.280$2,869Cheap band — no rep
May 24, 03:24 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.980$187.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:24 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.979$49.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:19 AMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY YES0.979$147.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:16 AMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY YES0.979$54.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:03 AMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY YES0.970$24.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:03 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.970$64.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 12:51 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.995$4,743Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 12:51 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.995$945.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 01:29 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.994$4,801Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 10:14 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.994$5,950Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 10:14 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.994$319.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 02:57 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.993$277.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Finance6$1.56M+$1.56M
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports4$327.4K+$327.4K
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Sports3$300.6K+$300.6K
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Sports3$225.6K+$225.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tech1$116.3K$-116,337