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alextalley

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1a3f…6dea with our methodology badges per row.

0x1a3fb05e94caef23e28905767cd603eb574a6dea·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
no rep computed yet
PnL per $
historical realized
Win rate
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. No reputation snapshot yet — wallet is new or hasn't traded enough resolved markets.

Trades (90d)
19
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$77.6K
avg $4,083 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$70.7K / $6,864
net direction

Recent trades

last 19 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 3, 10:12 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY NO0.655$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 10:12 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY NO0.260$5,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 1, 04:34 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY NO0.645$7,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 04:01 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY NO0.624$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 09:17 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.425$3,900
May 15, 06:40 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY NO0.550$3,600
May 15, 06:39 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.710$3,680— (SELL)
May 10, 05:38 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.503$10.8K
May 8, 09:18 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.470$2,030
May 8, 02:53 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.485$2,500
May 8, 01:33 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.453$6,000
May 6, 11:50 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.452$10.4K
May 3, 12:17 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.571$3,189
May 3, 12:17 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.800$3,184— (SELL)
Apr 27, 01:10 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.453$1,100
Apr 27, 01:00 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.454$4,000
Apr 26, 05:17 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.420$1,700
Apr 25, 11:18 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.464$1,500
Apr 17, 08:59 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.550$1,500

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume