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shuanyang

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1681…b1c7 with our methodology badges per row.

0x1681006e2a5c3ca35767f215947326591180b1c7·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-52%
historical realized
Win rate
35.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$58.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -52% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
33
Distinct markets
18
Volume (90d)
$313.0K
avg $9,486 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$221.3K / $91.8K
net direction

Recent trades

last 33 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 09:51 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.762$41.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:51 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.735$8,265Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:42 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.121$3,483— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:20 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.522$15.0K—
Jun 12, 12:43 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.052$10.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 12:39 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.170$7,004Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 01:14 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.090$9,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 12:53 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$9,000—
Jun 11, 07:37 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.170$10.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 07:32 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.053$19.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 07:31 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$9,500—
Jun 11, 02:31 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$2,476—
Jun 10, 09:09 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.086$8,744Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 09:08 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.053$6,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 09:07 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$9,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 09:06 AMUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL YES0.649$6,486— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:04 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.670$6,700— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:02 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$3,000—
Jun 10, 09:00 AMWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.009$3,000—
Jun 2, 02:48 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?BUY YES0.312$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 29, 12:32 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.994$18.6K— (SELL)
May 27, 08:15 AMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?BUY NO0.796$2,251Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:50 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.562$1,873—
May 21, 09:32 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.720$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 02:54 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.294$3,000Cheap band — no rep
May 6, 11:11 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.558$14.0K— (SELL)
May 3, 03:14 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.440$2,500—
Apr 21, 07:44 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY YES0.723$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 10:21 AMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?BUY NO0.764$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 04:18 AM0x68beecc8SELL NO0.999$25.5K— (SELL)
Apr 6, 02:51 AM0x5c2e6aefSELL NO0.933$17.0K— (SELL)
Apr 1, 11:24 AM0x5c2e6aefBUY NO0.850$15.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 07:27 AMOver $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY NO0.920$3,240Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

18 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Other2$50.0K+$50.0K
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$35.5K+$35.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Tech2$32.6K$-32,570
0x5c2e6aef—2$32.6K$-1,508
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech3$26.2K+$26.2K
0x68beecc8—1$25.5K$-25,486
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$24.0K+$24.0K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Other2$18.5K+$11.5K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$17.7K+$17.7K
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics1$13.0K+$13.0K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Other4$8,873+$8,873
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Other1$6,700$-6,700
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Other1$6,486$-6,486
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Other1$3,240+$3,240
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$3,000+$3,000
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Other1$2,251+$2,251
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics1$2,000+$2,000