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Albedo00

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x160d…6f25 with our methodology badges per row.

0x160df84695ed42f620a1b2fa4cb69a5f69986f25·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
39
lifetime
PnL per $
+10%
historical realized
Win rate
91.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$89.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
67
Distinct markets
40
Volume (90d)
$137.0K
avg $2,045 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$132.1K / $4,888
net direction

Recent trades

last 67 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 10:30 PMExact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?BUY NO0.977$1,919Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:29 PMExact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?BUY NO0.966$2,289Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:29 PMExact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?BUY NO0.965$2,109Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:27 PMExact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?BUY NO0.977$1,066Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:14 PMExact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco?BUY NO0.964$1,052Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:04 PMExact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?BUY NO0.986$1,066Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 03:05 AMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.941$1,162Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 03:03 AMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.942$1,861Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:38 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.980$1,369Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:25 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.730$5,735Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:19 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.730$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:09 PMExact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?BUY NO0.910$1,001Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:31 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.592$1,266
Jun 11, 01:31 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.609$1,270Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:45 PMMexico leading at halftime?BUY YES0.490$1,362
Jun 6, 01:27 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-06?BUY YES0.730$1,593Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 01:26 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-06?BUY YES0.730$1,593Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 01:26 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-06?BUY YES0.730$1,593Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 09:20 AMWill Myanmar win on 2026-06-06?BUY YES0.840$1,228Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:56 AMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY NO0.727$2,746Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:20 AMWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.680$2,727— (SELL)
Jun 2, 12:03 PMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY YES0.870$1,027Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 12:02 PMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY YES0.870$5,226Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 12:00 PMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY YES0.870$4,746Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 07:21 AMWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.680$2,161— (SELL)
Jun 2, 07:15 AMWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY NO0.890$2,666Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 07:14 AMWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY NO0.890$7,779Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:33 AMWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY NO0.890$1,574Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 05:37 AMWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY NO0.890$1,748Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 05:22 AMWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY NO0.890$1,374Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 04:03 AMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY YES0.890$1,994Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 01:19 PMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?BUY YES0.790$1,492Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 07:10 PMSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY YES0.977$2,664Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 07:01 PMSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY YES0.977$2,663Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:15 PMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.770$2,843Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 04:58 PMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY NO0.960$1,536Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 06:06 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY NO0.820$1,674Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 05:30 PMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY NO0.958$1,045Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 04:56 AMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY YES0.753$1,557Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 09:57 PMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY NO0.978$2,450Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 06:18 AMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY NO0.977$1,546Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 12:59 AMWill the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.930$1,095Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 02:27 AMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.950$1,036Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 02:25 AMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.949$1,035Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:20 PMWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.670$1,462Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:19 PMWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.670$1,462Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:19 PMWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.670$1,462Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:19 PMWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.670$1,462Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:55 PMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY YES0.965$1,162Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 02:23 PMWill Google reach $400 in April?BUY NO0.965$1,138Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:15 PMLos Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY YES0.330$3,627Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 04:04 AMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY NO0.910$2,145Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 03:07 AMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY NO0.917$1,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 10:30 PM0x825a3559BUY0.980$1,095Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:32 PM0x29880c68BUY YES0.951$1,037Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:32 PM0x29880c68BUY YES0.957$1,043Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:30 PM0x29880c68BUY YES0.990$1,080Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:09 AM0xa2527fe1BUY YES0.290$1,916Conviction tier
Apr 10, 10:18 AM0x75ea1d9fBUY0.840$1,789Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 08:55 PM0xe7c56576BUY NO0.982$2,031Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 08:46 PM0xe7c56576BUY NO0.982$1,191Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 08:58 PM0xc611fc2fBUY0.620$1,353Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 04:15 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY YES0.700$2,749Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 02:56 AM0xa7e1a684BUY0.820$1,208Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 01:20 AM0x6ad22e09BUY0.887$1,932Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 05:58 PM0x4bbcf615BUY NO0.530$1,156
Apr 3, 01:04 AM0x8dcf8d4aBUY0.800$3,491Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

40 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other3$17.2K+$17.2K
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Politics5$15.1K+$15.1K
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Politics4$13.0K+$13.0K
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other6$10.7K+$960
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Other2$5,327+$5,327
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?Other3$4,779+$4,779
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Other2$4,397+$4,397
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City RoyalsOther1$3,627+$3,627
0x8dcf8d4a1$3,491+$3,491
0xe7c565762$3,222+$3,222
0x29880c683$3,160+$3,160
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Sports2$3,145+$3,145
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Other2$3,023+$3,023
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?Other2$2,985+$2,985
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?Other1$2,843+$2,843
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Other1$2,749+$2,749
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics1$2,746+$2,746
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Finance2$2,581+$2,581
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports2$2,537+$2,537
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Finance1$2,450+$2,450
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Sports2$2,072+$2,072
0x6ad22e091$1,932+$1,932
0xa2527fe11$1,916+$1,916
0x75ea1d9f1$1,789+$1,789
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Other1$1,674+$1,674
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Finance1$1,557+$1,557
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech1$1,546+$1,546
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Tech1$1,492+$1,492
Mexico leading at halftime?Other1$1,362+$1,362
0xc611fc2f1$1,353+$1,353

Showing top 30 by volume.