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JESUSCHRISTISGOD

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x160d…5295 with our methodology badges per row.

0x160db9bb5bf012f21251a74737093bcdc36f5295·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-21%
historical realized
Win rate
78.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$318.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -21% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
62
Distinct markets
43
Volume (90d)
$1.00M
avg $16.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$884.5K / $120.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 62 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 12:04 PMWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.510$1,854
Jun 13, 10:58 AMWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.370$4,389Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 10:30 AMWill Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.867$4,527Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 10:28 AMWill Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.870$3,655Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:53 AMWill Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?BUY NO0.999$1,110Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:53 AMWill Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?BUY NO0.998$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 02:47 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.996$27.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 10:06 PMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?BUY YES0.998$11.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 10:06 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY YES0.997$141.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 10:05 PMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY YES0.997$13.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:30 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.997$35.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 12:59 AMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.997$105.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 01:50 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.830$87.9K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 12:55 PMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.037$1,295
Apr 28, 12:46 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.828$20.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:04 AMUFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.480$1,168
Apr 25, 11:23 PMUFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.999$68.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 05:53 AMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.983$99.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 08:55 AMWill the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.995$77.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 07:24 AMWill the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.994$13.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 10:02 PMUFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha (Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.490$8,560
Apr 19, 05:41 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.085$11.7K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 12:28 PM0x51b4d94fBUY0.600$1,435
Apr 13, 03:47 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.085$3,429— (SELL)
Apr 11, 11:53 AM0x983b5f51BUY0.440$1,562
Apr 11, 01:14 AM0x731d3440BUY0.560$5,526
Apr 8, 12:19 AMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.998$96.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 08:24 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.086$2,206— (SELL)
Apr 2, 08:59 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.086$4,710— (SELL)
Apr 1, 01:39 AMFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.390$7,891Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 1, 01:37 AMFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.380$7,647Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 31, 12:23 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.086$1,540— (SELL)
Mar 29, 12:16 AM0x02ecb362BUY0.630$3,150Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 12:01 AM0x019e74afBUY0.350$1,750Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 28, 11:11 PM0x493b2fdaBUY0.980$2,390Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 10:49 PM0x493b2fdaBUY0.550$2,750
Mar 28, 12:44 AM0x891e9e56BUY0.430$4,300
Mar 28, 12:38 AM0x94683322SELL0.590$4,194— (SELL)
Mar 28, 12:25 AM0x94683322BUY0.496$4,965
Mar 27, 05:38 AM0x045c8b68SELL0.540$1,103— (SELL)
Mar 27, 04:13 AM0x350ef0d8BUY0.519$2,741
Mar 27, 04:07 AM0xb3a9a9ecBUY0.462$3,394
Mar 27, 04:05 AM0xb3a9a9ecBUY0.463$1,460
Mar 27, 01:40 AM0x0846ea47BUY0.230$13.8KCheap band — no rep
Mar 27, 01:20 AM0xeb245640BUY0.220$4,226Cheap band — no rep
Mar 27, 12:56 AM0xeb245640BUY0.380$7,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 26, 10:33 PM0x27c8a932BUY0.450$9,000
Mar 26, 10:00 PM0x045c8b68BUY0.530$6,197
Mar 26, 07:33 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.370$3,653— (SELL)
Mar 26, 06:42 AM0xb9e4debaBUY0.639$1,740Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 05:39 AM0x0a5b9be4BUY0.690$2,557Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 04:35 AM0xd92d321eBUY0.667$8,075Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 04:34 AM0xd92d321eBUY0.789$2,614Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 02:01 AM0x9b51d021BUY0.490$3,430
Mar 26, 02:01 AM0x9b51d021BUY0.480$3,263
Mar 26, 01:49 AM0x9f8ff091BUY0.370$1,110Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 26, 01:49 AM0x9f8ff091BUY0.380$2,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 26, 01:34 AM0xc75831d2BUY0.460$1,238
Mar 26, 01:14 AM0xae0bacd8BUY0.507$2,476
Mar 25, 11:05 PM0xae0bacd8BUY0.560$3,920
Mar 25, 05:38 AM0xbd4c47f2BUY0.360$1,800Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 25, 01:52 AM0x2f10f76dBUY0.790$6,320Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

43 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Other2$154.7K+$154.7K
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Other2$141.2K+$141.2K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$108.4K$-67,282
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$99.5K+$99.5K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Other1$96.5K+$96.5K
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports2$91.1K+$91.1K
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)Sports1$68.8K+$68.8K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto1$27.9K+$27.9K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$23.6K$-23,601
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Other2$15.5K+$15.5K
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Other2$14.7K+$14.7K
0x0846ea471$13.8K+$13.8K
0xeb2456402$11.8K+$11.8K
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Other1$11.1K+$11.1K
0xd92d321e2$10.7K+$10.7K
0x946833222$9,159+$770
0x27c8a9321$9,000+$9,000
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha (Flyweight, Prelims)Sports1$8,560+$8,560
0x045c8b682$7,300+$5,094
0x9b51d0212$6,693+$6,693
0xae0bacd82$6,396+$6,396
0x2f10f76d1$6,320+$6,320
0x731d34401$5,526+$5,526
0x493b2fda2$5,140+$5,140
0xb3a9a9ec2$4,854+$4,854
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$4,527+$4,527
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech1$4,389+$4,389
0x891e9e561$4,300+$4,300
0x9f8ff0912$3,710+$3,710
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$3,655+$3,655

Showing top 30 by volume.