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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x14ff…d178 with our methodology badges per row.

0x14ffde9178642cc0c18e6c34d40c4e7a110ed178·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
59
lifetime
PnL per $
+6553%
historical realized
Win rate
52.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$692.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
100
Distinct markets
53
Volume (90d)
$1.48M
avg $14.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.43M / $56.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 100 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 21, 01:48 AMExact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Curaçao?BUY NO0.999$1,052Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:11 PMExact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?SELL NO0.995$1,665— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:11 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.997$14.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:55 PMExact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Madagascar?BUY NO0.997$9,971Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:20 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-02?BUY YES0.997$3,689Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:01 PMExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?BUY NO0.999$3,735Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 02:34 PMWill New Zealand win?BUY YES0.999$5,658Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 05:50 PMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?SELL NO0.993$2,498— (SELL)
May 28, 12:08 PMWill Ireland win?BUY NO0.997$1,496Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 11:05 AMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY NO0.997$9,113Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 11:03 AMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?BUY NO0.999$103.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 10:49 AMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY NO0.996$18.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 06:15 PMExact Score: Morocco 1 - 0 Burundi?SELL NO0.999$2,997— (SELL)
May 26, 02:44 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-05-26?SELL YES0.998$3,765— (SELL)
May 26, 02:36 PMExact Score: Morocco 1 - 0 Burundi?BUY NO0.980$2,822Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:24 PMMorocco vs. Burundi: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.980$2,946Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:09 PMWill Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?BUY NO0.999$2,955Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 03:05 PMWill Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?BUY NO0.999$7,853Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 02:26 PMWill Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?BUY NO0.999$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:56 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY YES0.999$11.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 09:03 AMWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY NO0.970$1,950Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 04:50 PMWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY NO0.970$2,749Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 04:44 PMWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY NO0.970$2,686Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 08:02 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?BUY YES0.966$2,712Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 07:43 AMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY YES0.910$1,369Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 07:43 AMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY YES0.910$1,825Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 03:30 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Completed match?BUY YES0.997$1,950Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:33 AMT20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Completed match?BUY YES0.999$1,328Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 07:39 PMIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Completed match?BUY YES0.990$1,539Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:06 AMICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs OmanBUY YES0.999$3,357Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 10:20 AMICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs OmanBUY YES0.990$1,222Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 07:10 PMIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Completed match?BUY YES0.992$1,860Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 05:22 PMIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan RoyalsSELL YES0.999$45.8K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 05:19 PMIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan RoyalsBUY YES0.990$3,785Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 05:19 PMIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan RoyalsBUY YES0.990$23.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 02:19 PMT20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs VanuatuBUY YES0.997$1,182Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 10:16 AMT20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri LankaBUY YES0.998$1,996Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:42 AMT20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri LankaBUY YES0.969$9,298Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:36 AMT20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs NepalBUY YES0.999$3,307Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:31 AMT20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs NepalBUY YES0.990$1,583Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:31 AMT20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs NepalBUY YES0.980$1,469Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 04:14 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruBUY YES0.999$1,299Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 04:12 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruBUY YES0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 04:11 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruBUY YES0.999$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 04:11 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruBUY YES0.999$49.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 02:28 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruBUY YES0.970$12.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 02:28 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruBUY YES0.970$31.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 02:27 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruBUY YES0.970$24.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 02:26 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruBUY YES0.960$1,509Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 12:52 PMT20 Challenge Trophy, Women: USA vs VanuatuBUY YES0.999$4,811Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:28 PMIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat TitansBUY YES0.999$5,314Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:23 PMIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat TitansBUY YES0.998$24.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:18 PMIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat TitansBUY YES0.997$2,331Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:17 PMIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat TitansBUY YES0.997$1,002Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:17 PMIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat TitansBUY YES0.997$1,994Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:16 PMIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat TitansBUY YES0.992$1,195Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 10:25 AMT20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs VanuatuBUY YES0.999$1,018Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:40 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?BUY NO0.997$3,873Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:13 PMT20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs IndiaBUY YES0.999$8,582Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 05:47 PMIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers HyderabadBUY YES0.999$5,003Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 02:12 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab KingsBUY YES0.998$33.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 02:09 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab KingsBUY YES0.993$1,241Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 03:05 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?BUY NO0.998$2,461Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 07:26 PMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?BUY NO0.997$39.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 05:25 PMIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat TitansBUY YES0.998$22.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 05:08 PMIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat TitansBUY YES0.990$21.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 03:57 AMNuggets vs. TimberwolvesBUY YES0.998$12.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 07:10 PMT20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs IndiaBUY YES0.999$10.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 05:34 PMIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan RoyalsBUY YES0.990$19.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 05:44 PMIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi CapitalsBUY0.999$149.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 05:41 PMIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi CapitalsBUY0.997$2,749Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 05:38 PMIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi CapitalsBUY0.993$2,179Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 05:38 PMIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi CapitalsBUY0.990$1,711Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 05:38 PMIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi CapitalsBUY0.990$1,979Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 05:13 PMIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai IndiansBUY0.997$7,640Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 05:11 PMIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai IndiansBUY0.997$100.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 05:05 PMIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai IndiansBUY0.985$4,335Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 04:44 PMIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai IndiansBUY0.980$12.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 12:20 PMODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New ZealandBUY0.999$3,728Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 01:55 PMIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi CapitalsBUY0.990$3,878Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 04:54 PMPakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta GladiatorsBUY0.999$4,662Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:17 PMIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab KingsBUY0.999$26.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:14 PMIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab KingsBUY0.998$1,450Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:13 PMIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab KingsBUY0.997$40.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:13 PMIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab KingsBUY0.997$74.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 05:02 PMIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super GiantsBUY0.999$23.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 05:01 PMIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super GiantsBUY0.999$47.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 05:01 PMIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super GiantsBUY0.999$38.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 05:28 PM0x4119c306BUY0.998$5,738Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 04:49 PM0x4119c306BUY0.980$14.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:11 PM0xfc8bda00BUY0.999$1,851Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:08 PM0xfc8bda00BUY0.999$69.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 01:31 PM0xc8e277f7BUY0.999$12.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 01:08 PM0xc8e277f7BUY0.995$2,173Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 01:08 PM0xc8e277f7BUY0.994$6,002Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 06:30 PM0xd23f7e79BUY0.999$42.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 12:36 PM0x31ca3efaBUY NO0.997$24.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 12:36 PM0x31ca3efaBUY NO0.996$8,253Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 12:28 PM0x31ca3efaBUY NO0.995$12.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 12:17 PM0x31ca3efaBUY NO0.994$1,018Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

53 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers BengaluruOther8$173.6K+$173.6K
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi CapitalsOther5$158.2K+$158.2K
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab KingsTech4$143.4K+$143.4K
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai IndiansTech4$125.1K+$125.1K
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super GiantsOther3$109.2K+$109.2K
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?Crypto1$103.7K+$103.7K
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan RoyalsOther3$72.8K$-18,711
0xfc8bda00—2$71.1K+$71.1K
0x31ca3efa—4$46.7K+$46.7K
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat TitansOther2$43.5K+$43.5K
0xd23f7e79—1$42.7K+$42.7K
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?Crypto1$39.2K+$39.2K
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat TitansTech6$35.9K+$35.9K
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab KingsOther2$34.5K+$34.5K
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Crypto3$30.2K+$25.2K
0xc8e277f7—3$20.8K+$20.8K
0x4119c306—2$20.4K+$20.4K
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan RoyalsOther1$19.8K+$19.8K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?Other3$14.8K+$14.8K
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Other1$14.6K+$14.6K
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesOther1$12.6K+$12.6K
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri LankaOther2$11.3K+$11.3K
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs IndiaOther1$10.3K+$10.3K
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Other1$10.2K+$10.2K
Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Madagascar?Other1$9,971+$9,971
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs IndiaOther1$8,582+$8,582
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Tech1$7,853+$7,853
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?Other3$7,385+$7,385
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs NepalOther3$6,360+$6,360
Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 0 Burundi?Other2$5,819$-175

Showing top 30 by volume.