Back to whale feed

BFGK12

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x12b9…3ec2 with our methodology badges per row.

0x12b9cabd49d13d56880ed5fe8ef8b6d67d583ec2·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
89
lifetime
PnL per $
+16%
historical realized
Win rate
55.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$274.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
95
Volume (90d)
$608.6K
avg $3,043 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$316.1K / $292.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 08:31 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.390$12.7K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:21 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.700$4,168Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:21 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.707$2,658Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:21 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.700$2,997Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:21 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.690$3,089Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:09 PMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10?BUY NO0.390$1,001Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 01:20 PMWill Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.730$2,190Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 12:21 PMWill Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?SELL NO0.250$2,051— (SELL)
May 30, 12:19 PMWill Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.270$1,326Conviction tier
May 28, 01:38 AMWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?SELL YES0.900$2,214— (SELL)
May 28, 12:52 AMWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?SELL YES0.800$1,790— (SELL)
May 28, 12:36 AMWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?BUY YES0.937$4,686Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 12:36 AMWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?BUY YES0.930$3,945Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 12:36 AMWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?BUY YES0.928$4,639Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:21 PMWill Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-20?SELL YES0.720$2,160— (SELL)
May 20, 01:19 PMWill Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-20?BUY YES0.350$1,050Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 01:13 PMWill Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY NO0.500$5,000
May 17, 07:18 PMWill EC Bahia win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.590$1,770
May 17, 02:45 PMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.735$3,427Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 06:45 PMWill CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?BUY NO0.249$1,245Conviction tier
May 16, 02:36 PMWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?SELL YES0.650$9,042— (SELL)
May 16, 02:35 PMWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?BUY YES0.690$2,758Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 02:35 PMWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?BUY YES0.700$2,937Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 01:24 PMWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?SELL YES0.850$3,400— (SELL)
May 14, 03:27 AMWill CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-13?SELL NO0.750$2,205— (SELL)
May 14, 03:20 AMWill CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-13?BUY NO0.440$1,197
May 13, 07:43 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?BUY YES0.490$1,225
May 12, 08:20 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?SELL YES0.620$6,289— (SELL)
May 12, 08:16 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?BUY YES0.547$1,640
May 12, 08:16 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?BUY YES0.550$1,650
May 12, 08:16 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?BUY YES0.440$1,320
May 12, 07:46 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?SELL YES0.580$7,973— (SELL)
May 12, 07:42 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?BUY YES0.410$4,100
May 12, 07:41 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?BUY YES0.390$3,900Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 07:40 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?BUY YES0.350$3,500Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 07:40 PMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?BUY YES0.340$1,631Killed band — neutral expectation
May 11, 09:15 PMWill SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?SELL NO0.950$2,326— (SELL)
May 11, 06:52 PMWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?SELL NO0.330$4,044— (SELL)
May 11, 06:45 PMWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?BUY NO0.415$1,244
May 10, 01:39 PMWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?SELL YES0.410$3,773— (SELL)
May 9, 11:50 PMWill CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.671$1,647Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 05:06 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?SELL YES0.630$4,717— (SELL)
May 9, 05:05 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.647$8,058Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 02:47 PMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?SELL YES0.691$1,080— (SELL)
May 9, 02:45 PMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?SELL YES0.690$3,773— (SELL)
May 9, 02:43 PMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?SELL YES0.690$2,958— (SELL)
May 9, 02:17 PMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.470$1,222
May 9, 02:17 PMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.450$3,570
May 9, 01:53 PMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?SELL YES0.460$6,133— (SELL)
May 9, 01:50 PMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.591$3,085
May 9, 01:33 PMWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.690$1,104Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 07:48 PMWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?BUY NO0.310$1,550Killed band — neutral expectation
May 8, 12:38 AMWill Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-07?BUY YES0.570$2,528
May 7, 11:38 PMWill CA Boston River win on 2026-05-07?BUY NO0.355$1,068Killed band — neutral expectation
May 6, 12:48 PMWill Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06?BUY NO0.434$1,395
May 6, 12:38 PMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?SELL NO0.670$1,024— (SELL)
May 6, 12:35 PMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?SELL NO0.670$3,803— (SELL)
May 6, 12:32 PMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?SELL NO0.670$1,451— (SELL)
May 6, 12:28 PMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?SELL NO0.670$3,523— (SELL)
May 6, 12:25 PMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?SELL NO0.670$1,019— (SELL)
May 6, 12:19 PMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?BUY NO0.451$4,727
May 6, 12:19 PMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?BUY NO0.443$4,999
May 6, 12:19 PMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?BUY NO0.437$3,279
May 5, 08:16 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?SELL NO0.220$3,418— (SELL)
May 4, 06:55 PMWill CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-04?SELL YES0.130$1,327— (SELL)
May 4, 06:53 PMWill CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-04?BUY YES0.156$1,130Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 07:19 PMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03?BUY NO0.540$6,230
May 3, 04:23 PMWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?SELL YES0.274$2,404— (SELL)
May 3, 04:21 PMWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.318$4,947Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 02:19 PMWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?SELL YES0.550$4,121— (SELL)
May 3, 02:19 PMWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?SELL YES0.550$2,341— (SELL)
May 3, 02:18 PMWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?SELL YES0.550$8,108— (SELL)
May 3, 02:17 PMWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?SELL YES0.560$4,362— (SELL)
May 3, 02:16 PMWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.610$9,242Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:38 PMWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?SELL YES0.480$1,640— (SELL)
May 2, 12:24 PMWill Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY NO0.560$1,265
Apr 30, 08:16 PMWill SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?SELL YES0.270$1,880— (SELL)
Apr 30, 08:12 PMWill SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?BUY YES0.310$2,414Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 30, 12:43 AMWill Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-29?BUY NO0.539$5,584
Apr 26, 09:19 PMWill Once Caldas win on 2026-04-26?BUY YES0.418$1,373
Apr 26, 09:09 PMWill Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?SELL NO0.390$1,825— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:50 AMWill CF América win on 2026-04-25?SELL YES0.500$2,156— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:49 AMWill CF América win on 2026-04-25?SELL YES0.510$1,389— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:44 AMWill CF América win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.549$4,649
Apr 25, 11:35 PMWill CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.315$1,054Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 06:02 PMWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-25?SELL YES0.490$5,600— (SELL)
Apr 25, 06:01 PMWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.535$2,686
Apr 25, 06:01 PMWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.523$4,537
Apr 25, 03:11 PMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?SELL YES0.680$5,476— (SELL)
Apr 25, 03:08 PMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.350$1,739Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 02:50 PMWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?BUY NO0.290$1,398Conviction tier
Apr 25, 01:07 PMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.620$2,426Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 11:25 PMWill CA Lanús win on 2026-04-24?SELL YES0.500$2,647— (SELL)
Apr 24, 11:24 PMWill CA Lanús win on 2026-04-24?BUY YES0.557$2,946
Apr 19, 03:39 PM0x1aba2e3fSELL YES0.640$2,324— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:33 PM0x1aba2e3fSELL YES0.410$1,148— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:33 PM0x1aba2e3fSELL YES0.410$1,691— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:32 PM0x1aba2e3fSELL YES0.410$1,691— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:31 PM0x1aba2e3fSELL YES0.430$1,621— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:31 PM0x1aba2e3fBUY YES0.480$2,566
Apr 19, 03:30 PM0x1aba2e3fBUY YES0.470$2,283
Apr 19, 04:53 AM0x6b99a07cSELL YES0.400$1,128— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:39 AM0xf9a4d3b9SELL YES0.560$1,090— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:31 AM0xf9a4d3b9SELL YES0.590$1,148— (SELL)
Apr 19, 03:31 AM0xf9a4d3b9SELL YES0.570$2,218— (SELL)
Apr 19, 12:09 AM0x55a193f6SELL YES0.540$1,111— (SELL)
Apr 18, 09:07 PM0xd00b9135SELL YES0.630$2,784— (SELL)
Apr 18, 08:58 PM0xd00b9135BUY YES0.430$1,033
Apr 18, 06:36 PM0xbeb78ef2SELL YES0.450$2,408— (SELL)
Apr 18, 06:35 PM0xbeb78ef2BUY YES0.480$3,392
Apr 18, 02:52 PM0x77de8c06SELL YES0.550$1,534— (SELL)
Apr 18, 02:40 PM0x77de8c06BUY YES0.620$1,211Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 01:21 AM0x449f06b3SELL YES0.280$1,256— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:20 AM0x449f06b3SELL YES0.290$1,066— (SELL)
Apr 18, 01:18 AM0x449f06b3BUY YES0.300$1,583Conviction tier
Apr 18, 01:17 AM0x449f06b3BUY YES0.300$1,499Conviction tier
Apr 17, 08:17 PM0xd5070b53BUY NO0.210$1,025Conviction tier
Apr 17, 07:48 PM0xd5070b53SELL YES0.260$3,241— (SELL)
Apr 17, 07:47 PM0xd5070b53BUY YES0.280$3,489Conviction tier
Apr 17, 07:24 PM0x0ec8a527SELL NO0.580$3,789— (SELL)
Apr 17, 07:23 PM0x0ec8a527SELL NO0.590$1,927— (SELL)
Apr 17, 07:21 PM0x0ec8a527SELL NO0.610$3,049— (SELL)
Apr 17, 07:18 PM0x0ec8a527BUY NO0.630$9,174Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 05:53 PM0xd31b9f31SELL NO0.660$1,099— (SELL)
Apr 16, 05:23 PM0xa1a22eb8SELL YES0.390$1,371— (SELL)
Apr 16, 05:22 PM0xa1a22eb8SELL YES0.400$1,595— (SELL)
Apr 16, 05:21 PM0xa1a22eb8BUY YES0.415$4,968
Apr 15, 10:41 PM0xfd535143SELL YES0.560$1,122— (SELL)
Apr 15, 07:21 PMAl Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5BUY0.190$2,289Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 15, 07:14 PM0xc3bda72bSELL YES0.150$1,015— (SELL)
Apr 15, 07:13 PM0xc3bda72bBUY YES0.160$2,607Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 14, 08:30 PM0xaea9c4c8SELL NO0.640$2,312— (SELL)
Apr 13, 08:37 PM0xbb8d580cBUY YES0.240$1,891Conviction tier
Apr 12, 09:44 PM1795087BUY YES0.340$1,566Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 09:23 PM0xd245aec4SELL NO0.810$13.6K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 09:22 PM0xd245aec4SELL NO0.810$13.6K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 08:42 PM0xa6b3d5a8BUY YES0.434$1,533
Apr 12, 08:41 PM0xa6b3d5a8BUY YES0.410$1,048
Apr 12, 06:42 PM0x1082aed1BUY NO0.275$2,995Conviction tier
Apr 12, 06:42 PM0x1082aed1BUY NO0.183$1,510Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 06:42 PM0x1082aed1BUY NO0.173$1,644Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 02:44 PM0xd105f8e1SELL YES0.370$5,474— (SELL)
Apr 12, 02:43 PM0xd105f8e1BUY YES0.396$5,002Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 02:42 PM0xd105f8e1BUY YES0.380$2,491Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 11:52 AM0xbaf9f1aeSELL YES0.280$1,244— (SELL)
Apr 11, 11:35 PM0x8bee37cdSELL NO0.760$1,525— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:08 PM0xd370471fSELL0.500$1,544— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:07 PM0xd370471fSELL0.520$1,369— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:05 PM0xd370471fBUY0.608$1,308Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 08:11 PM0x357756cbSELL YES0.620$7,141— (SELL)
Apr 11, 08:09 PM0x357756cbBUY YES0.680$3,663Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:43 PM0x0f691c3cSELL YES0.870$2,406— (SELL)
Apr 11, 04:42 PM0x0f691c3cSELL YES0.870$10.7K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 04:40 PM0x0f691c3cBUY YES0.740$23.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 12:29 PM0xdc56cafeSELL NO0.380$1,754— (SELL)
Apr 11, 12:29 PM0xdc56cafeSELL NO0.390$2,396— (SELL)
Apr 11, 12:28 PM0xdc56cafeBUY NO0.440$5,004
Apr 11, 12:28 PM0xdc56cafeBUY NO0.420$1,439
Apr 11, 04:56 AM0x6d6f52c4BUY YES0.990$3,712Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 05:50 PM0xb35d10e8BUY NO0.260$1,649Conviction tier
Apr 10, 05:50 PM0xb35d10e8BUY NO0.256$2,092Conviction tier
Apr 9, 08:29 PM0x36fda5c5SELL YES0.310$1,194— (SELL)
Apr 9, 08:28 PM0x36fda5c5SELL YES0.320$1,394— (SELL)
Apr 8, 01:39 AM0x3b30dd53BUY NO0.224$1,502Conviction tier
Apr 6, 05:36 PM0x576c1992SELL0.450$1,413— (SELL)
Apr 6, 05:33 PM0x576c1992BUY0.820$8,142Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 01:21 PM0xf5654f0dSELL YES0.350$1,158— (SELL)
Apr 6, 01:16 PM0xf5654f0dBUY YES0.380$1,262Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 5, 08:58 PM0xea461b9fSELL NO0.967$1,981— (SELL)
Apr 5, 08:17 PM0xf4b7d9beSELL NO0.410$1,254— (SELL)
Apr 5, 08:15 PM0xf4b7d9beBUY NO0.435$1,387
Apr 5, 06:28 PM0x7692dfe6SELL YES0.520$3,022— (SELL)
Apr 5, 06:27 PM0x7692dfe6BUY YES0.556$1,869
Apr 5, 06:27 PM0x7692dfe6BUY YES0.550$1,761
Apr 5, 02:45 PM0xdd4d4249SELL NO0.390$2,404— (SELL)
Apr 5, 02:44 PM0xdd4d4249SELL NO0.390$3,375— (SELL)
Apr 5, 02:44 PM0xdd4d4249SELL NO0.390$6,499— (SELL)
Apr 5, 02:39 PM0x1e394b50SELL YES0.220$1,184— (SELL)
Apr 5, 01:21 PM0x0e23b780SELL NO0.320$3,867— (SELL)
Apr 4, 07:52 PM0xd0124c7fSELL0.355$1,009— (SELL)
Apr 4, 07:49 PM0xd0124c7fSELL0.384$1,464— (SELL)
Apr 4, 06:27 PM0x3b910299SELL YES0.650$1,559— (SELL)
Apr 4, 06:14 PM0x73969464BUY YES0.192$1,478Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 4, 02:38 PM0xd6f8ba90SELL YES0.730$1,073— (SELL)
Apr 4, 02:12 PM0xcadbd40dSELL YES0.610$2,688— (SELL)
Apr 4, 02:04 PM0xcadbd40dBUY YES0.325$3,376Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 4, 01:28 PM0xef6a5386BUY YES0.321$1,822Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 4, 01:28 PM0xef6a5386BUY YES0.320$3,913Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 4, 01:27 PM0xef6a5386BUY YES0.284$2,315Conviction tier
Apr 4, 01:27 PM0xef6a5386BUY YES0.280$3,186Conviction tier
Apr 4, 01:27 PM0xef6a5386BUY YES0.270$1,740Conviction tier
Apr 4, 11:35 AM0x487cffc7SELL NO0.510$1,947— (SELL)
Apr 4, 11:34 AM0x487cffc7SELL NO0.515$4,116— (SELL)
Apr 4, 11:33 AM0x487cffc7BUY NO0.540$8,107
Apr 4, 11:33 AM0x487cffc7BUY NO0.536$8,033
Apr 4, 03:35 AM0x74dd4d20SELL YES0.490$1,371— (SELL)
Apr 3, 07:41 PM0xdaf32c6dBUY YES0.530$1,006
Apr 3, 01:49 AM0x6c100118SELL YES0.470$1,590— (SELL)
Apr 3, 01:48 AM0x6c100118SELL YES0.490$1,424— (SELL)
Apr 3, 01:46 AM0x6c100118BUY YES0.507$3,873

Markets active in

95 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
0x0f691c3c3$36.6K+$10.5K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?Other9$32.0K+$3,478
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?Other5$28.2K$-9,689
0xd245aec42$27.1K$-27,101
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other5$25.6K+$225
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?Other8$23.8K+$2,186
0x487cffc74$22.2K+$10.1K
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?Other7$21.8K$-6,066
0x0ec8a5274$17.9K+$410
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?Other5$17.3K+$9,266
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?Other3$14.7K$-3,347
0x1aba2e3f7$13.3K$-3,625
0xef6a53865$13.0K+$13.0K
0xd105f8e13$13.0K+$2,018
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-25?Other3$12.8K+$1,623
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Other2$12.8K+$3,340
0xdd4d42493$12.3K$-12,278
0x357756cb2$10.8K$-3,478
0xdc56cafe4$10.6K+$2,293
0x576c19922$9,555+$6,730
Will CF América win on 2026-04-25?Other3$8,194+$1,104
0xa1a22eb83$7,935+$2,001
0xd5070b533$7,755+$1,273
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?Other2$7,352+$2,543
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?Other2$7,215$-3,737
0x6c1001183$6,886+$859
0x7692dfe63$6,653+$608
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03?Tech1$6,230+$6,230
0x1082aed13$6,149+$6,149
0xcadbd40d2$6,064+$687

Showing top 30 by volume.