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isp
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x12af…ff78 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-36%
historical realized
Win rate
33.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$48.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -36% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
43
Distinct markets
37
Volume (90d)
$318.5K
avg $7,406 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$318.5K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 43 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 07:52 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $4,690 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:51 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $11.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 10:44 PM | Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | BUY YES | 0.510 | $8,160 | — |
| Apr 26, 01:12 AM | UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY YES | 0.460 | $2,514 | — |
| Apr 25, 11:51 PM | UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY YES | 0.600 | $5,493 | — |
| Apr 23, 11:53 PM | Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) | BUY YES | 0.470 | $10.2K | — |
| Apr 22, 11:59 PM | Spread: Thunder (-16.5) | BUY YES | 0.510 | $11.1K | — |
| Apr 21, 10:44 PM | Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | BUY | 0.530 | $1,283 | — |
| Apr 21, 10:42 PM | Spread: Celtics (-14.5) | BUY | 0.540 | $10.7K | — |
| Apr 21, 10:42 PM | Spread: Celtics (-14.5) | BUY YES | 0.540 | $10.7K | — |
| Apr 18, 11:59 PM | 0x13f7be3d | BUY | 0.450 | $14.5K | — |
| Apr 18, 10:02 PM | 0x7e3b19e1 | BUY | 0.580 | $5,541 | — |
| Apr 18, 09:44 PM | 0xe46b6dda | BUY | 0.630 | $1,712 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 09:27 PM | 0xe46b6dda | BUY | 0.620 | $7,236 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 10:50 PM | 0x1c58e09f | BUY | 0.480 | $12.8K | — |
| Apr 11, 10:31 PM | 0x4214defe | BUY | 0.670 | $1,008 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 09:57 PM | UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.410 | $17.9K | — |
| Apr 11, 09:43 PM | 0xbca696f9 | BUY | 0.300 | $4,753 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 9, 12:23 AM | 0xced54eba | BUY | 0.520 | $12.8K | — |
| Apr 9, 12:20 AM | 0xd990ec07 | BUY | 0.510 | $11.4K | — |
| Apr 9, 12:17 AM | 0xf555de90 | BUY | 0.530 | $7,261 | — |
| Apr 9, 12:17 AM | 0xf97cdb8a | BUY | 0.510 | $7,556 | — |
| Apr 6, 10:03 PM | 0x34387481 | BUY | 0.500 | $6,005 | — |
| Apr 6, 10:02 PM | 0xfce2027a | BUY | 0.520 | $3,133 | — |
| Apr 6, 07:51 PM | 0xcde3a759 | BUY | 0.550 | $1,522 | — |
| Apr 6, 07:50 PM | 0xcde3a759 | BUY | 0.550 | $5,160 | — |
| Apr 6, 07:46 PM | 0x40236182 | BUY | 0.440 | $10.8K | — |
| Apr 5, 07:31 PM | 0xd5eb39f8 | BUY | 0.530 | $3,901 | — |
| Apr 4, 11:16 PM | 0xceb8e9b8 | BUY | 0.490 | $8,458 | — |
| Apr 4, 10:11 PM | 0xd9cbf690 | BUY | 0.540 | $21.3K | — |
| Apr 4, 09:12 PM | 0x69b2ff2c | BUY | 0.500 | $2,671 | — |
| Mar 29, 06:03 PM | 0x6d8082cb | BUY | 0.480 | $9,600 | — |
| Mar 29, 12:11 AM | 0x840c905b | BUY | 0.120 | $3,281 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 28, 09:47 PM | 0x045c8b68 | BUY | 0.570 | $5,808 | — |
| Mar 28, 09:12 PM | 0x462edb8b | BUY | 0.550 | $1,595 | — |
| Mar 28, 09:08 PM | 0x493b2fda | BUY | 0.470 | $3,643 | — |
| Mar 28, 08:51 PM | 0x789abc32 | BUY | 0.630 | $18.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 28, 08:22 PM | 0x462edb8b | BUY | 0.550 | $5,439 | — |
| Mar 28, 05:19 PM | 0xcfa645d7 | BUY | 0.490 | $1,280 | — |
| Mar 27, 11:42 PM | 0xc1fbe3cc | BUY | 0.510 | $2,550 | — |
| Mar 27, 11:40 PM | 0xc1fbe3cc | BUY | 0.510 | $7,650 | — |
| Mar 27, 07:55 PM | 0xf7729a74 | BUY | 0.510 | $7,650 | — |
| Mar 24, 11:13 PM | 0x7bdd5220 | BUY | 0.510 | $7,650 | — |
Markets active in
37 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) | Other | 2 | $21.3K | +$21.3K |
| 0xd9cbf690 | — | 1 | $21.3K | +$21.3K |
| 0x789abc32 | — | 1 | $18.9K | +$18.9K |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | Sports | 1 | $17.9K | +$17.9K |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 2 | $16.1K | +$16.1K |
| 0x13f7be3d | — | 1 | $14.5K | +$14.5K |
| 0xced54eba | — | 1 | $12.8K | +$12.8K |
| 0x1c58e09f | — | 1 | $12.8K | +$12.8K |
| 0xd990ec07 | — | 1 | $11.4K | +$11.4K |
| Spread: Thunder (-16.5) | Other | 1 | $11.1K | +$11.1K |
| 0x40236182 | — | 1 | $10.8K | +$10.8K |
| 0xc1fbe3cc | — | 2 | $10.2K | +$10.2K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) | Other | 1 | $10.2K | +$10.2K |
| 0x6d8082cb | — | 1 | $9,600 | +$9,600 |
| 0xe46b6dda | — | 2 | $8,949 | +$8,949 |
| 0xceb8e9b8 | — | 1 | $8,458 | +$8,458 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Other | 1 | $8,160 | +$8,160 |
| 0xf7729a74 | — | 1 | $7,650 | +$7,650 |
| 0x7bdd5220 | — | 1 | $7,650 | +$7,650 |
| 0xf97cdb8a | — | 1 | $7,556 | +$7,556 |
| 0xf555de90 | — | 1 | $7,261 | +$7,261 |
| 0x462edb8b | — | 2 | $7,034 | +$7,034 |
| 0xcde3a759 | — | 2 | $6,682 | +$6,682 |
| 0x34387481 | — | 1 | $6,005 | +$6,005 |
| 0x045c8b68 | — | 1 | $5,808 | +$5,808 |
| 0x7e3b19e1 | — | 1 | $5,541 | +$5,541 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims) | Sports | 1 | $5,493 | +$5,493 |
| 0xbca696f9 | — | 1 | $4,753 | +$4,753 |
| 0xd5eb39f8 | — | 1 | $3,901 | +$3,901 |
| 0x493b2fda | — | 1 | $3,643 | +$3,643 |
Showing top 30 by volume.