| Jun 12, 07:09 PM | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.236 | $6,498 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 9, 04:00 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.490 | $9,800 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 09:07 AM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.012 | $2,759 | —— |
| Jun 8, 05:58 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.500 | $10.0K | —— |
| Jun 3, 04:40 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.084 | $8,700 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 12:03 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.057 | $6,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 12:33 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.210 | $1,756 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:31 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.764 | $21.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:07 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.775 | $1,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.581 | $4,056 | —— |
| Jun 1, 12:05 PM | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.931 | $16.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 03:23 PM | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.772 | $26.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 03:22 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.933 | $26.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 06:54 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $24.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 05:43 PM | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.833 | $1,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 12:31 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $37.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 12:30 PM | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $16.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 12:13 PM | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.842 | $17.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 12:00 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $53.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 11:59 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $5,807 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 11:57 AM | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $19.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 11:57 AM | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $42.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 11:51 AM | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $2,037 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 11:50 AM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $8,269 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 11:38 AM | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $1,414 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 10:50 AM | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $8,482 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 06:41 AM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL YES | 0.990 | $77.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:07 PM | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.958 | $23.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:06 PM | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.973 | $15.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:06 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.892 | $13.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:06 PM | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.939 | $5,488 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:05 PM | Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | SELL NO | 0.838 | $3,470 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:05 PM | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.879 | $3,095 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:01 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.933 | $38.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:01 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.931 | $30.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:01 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.941 | $27.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 07:01 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.938 | $36.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 06:02 PM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY YES | 0.747 | $17.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:02 PM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY YES | 0.645 | $16.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:02 PM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY YES | 0.448 | $13.7K | —— |
| May 8, 04:06 PM | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $5,431 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 05:43 AM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.673 | $34.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 05:43 AM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.652 | $13.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 05:37 AM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.700 | $3,932 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 15, 05:09 PM | 0xcc7dcc6c | BUY YES | 0.210 | $12.5K | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 8, 12:11 PM | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $23.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 12:10 PM | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $14.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 12:04 PM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $14.5K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 08:06 AM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.752 | $20.3K | — (SELL) |