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arlanta

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1136…0c2e with our methodology badges per row.

0x1136368d7f6728e94ed14c532ab95a932f710c2e·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
21
lifetime
PnL per $
-30%
historical realized
Win rate
26.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$249.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 21 resolved trades · -30% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
55
Distinct markets
21
Volume (90d)
$462.0K
avg $8,400 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$231.8K / $230.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 55 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 06:52 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.033$1,102
Jun 20, 06:52 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.033$9,639
Jun 13, 12:52 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.470$3,133
Jun 12, 01:19 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.380$45.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 03:43 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.170$2,851— (SELL)
Jun 11, 03:42 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.168$3,307— (SELL)
Jun 11, 03:41 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.170$1,019— (SELL)
Jun 11, 03:41 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.173$6,130— (SELL)
Jun 11, 03:41 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.171$2,804— (SELL)
Jun 11, 03:40 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.173$9,553— (SELL)
Jun 10, 12:20 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.376$3,760Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 07:03 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.375$1,566Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:18 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.378$11.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 03:13 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.375$1,528Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 11:23 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.377$1,724Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 11:22 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.375$6,774Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:37 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.376$1,349Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:37 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.379$8,001Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 09:37 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.378$1,104Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 09:30 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.379$1,111Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 12:18 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.214$1,385— (SELL)
Jun 7, 12:18 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.210$5,981— (SELL)
Jun 6, 06:09 PMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL YES0.441$22.0K— (SELL)
Jun 6, 03:31 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.185$10.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 4, 08:58 PMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY YES0.585$9,900
Jun 4, 10:47 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.095$6,014— (SELL)
Jun 3, 05:03 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.094$6,125Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 09:16 PMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.036$2,078— (SELL)
May 31, 09:16 PMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL YES0.413$8,576— (SELL)
May 31, 04:57 PMWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY NO0.540$5,400
May 28, 09:23 AMWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY NO0.830$3,207Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 09:21 AMWill Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY YES0.420$1,887
May 27, 10:48 AMWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?SELL NO0.999$27.6K— (SELL)
May 27, 10:34 AMWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?SELL NO0.999$12.4K— (SELL)
May 24, 10:58 PMWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?BUY NO0.690$3,657Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 10:19 PMWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?BUY NO0.690$3,993Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 07:23 PMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL NO0.340$1,824— (SELL)
May 24, 07:21 PMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL NO0.340$3,400— (SELL)
May 24, 07:20 PMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL NO0.350$2,800— (SELL)
May 24, 07:17 PMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL NO0.350$4,200— (SELL)
May 24, 07:15 PMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL NO0.360$4,191— (SELL)
May 24, 07:15 PMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL NO0.370$2,069— (SELL)
May 22, 03:49 PMWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?BUY NO0.670$3,449Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 11:35 PMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?BUY NO0.300$7,500Cheap band — no rep
May 21, 11:34 PMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?BUY YES0.300$8,700Cheap band — no rep
May 19, 07:27 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.310$4,667Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 06:30 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.600$24.0K
May 19, 06:06 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?SELL NO0.400$20.0K— (SELL)
May 18, 09:46 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.316$9,480Killed band — neutral expectation
May 18, 09:26 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.316$4,231Killed band — neutral expectation
May 18, 01:36 AMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?SELL NO0.999$40.0K— (SELL)
May 18, 01:35 AMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?SELL NO0.999$40.0K— (SELL)
May 17, 06:48 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.260$9,918Cheap band — no rep
May 17, 04:27 PMWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?BUY NO0.290$1,379Cheap band — no rep
May 16, 02:58 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?BUY NO0.520$15.6K

Markets active in

21 markets · sorted by volume