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MB1982

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x0eaa…c521 with our methodology badges per row.

0x0eaa43c627cd482acb6866a03fe1138495e0c521·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
10
lifetime
PnL per $
-100%
historical realized
Win rate
0.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$16.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 10 resolved trades · -100% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
39
Distinct markets
13
Volume (90d)
$173.0K
avg $4,436 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$159.7K / $13.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 39 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 27, 03:10 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY YES0.460$2,628
May 27, 03:03 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY YES0.506$5,000
May 27, 03:01 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY YES0.497$10,000
May 27, 03:00 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY YES0.487$10,000
May 27, 03:00 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY YES0.471$1,000
May 27, 02:59 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?BUY YES0.345$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 27, 02:56 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY YES0.477$5,000
May 27, 02:55 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY YES0.518$10.0K
May 27, 02:55 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY YES0.494$10,000
May 27, 02:55 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY YES0.490$3,471
May 27, 02:55 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY YES0.448$6,529
May 27, 02:53 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY YES0.235$1,000Cheap band — no rep
May 27, 02:52 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY YES0.514$10,000
May 27, 02:44 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY YES0.462$4,000
May 17, 07:56 PMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY YES0.283$1,000Cheap band — no rep
May 17, 07:54 PMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY YES0.269$1,000Cheap band — no rep
May 17, 07:54 PMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY YES0.250$1,000Cheap band — no rep
Apr 22, 06:05 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.529$2,000
Apr 21, 08:42 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.727$1,496Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 08:29 PMWill Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?BUY YES0.211$1,953Cheap band — no rep
Apr 21, 08:02 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.585$2,000
Apr 12, 06:17 PM0x0214efd7BUY YES0.131$1,470Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 04:44 PM0x0214efd7BUY YES0.075$3,762Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 11, 08:25 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY YES0.300$2,998Cheap band — no rep
Apr 8, 07:42 PM0x43c8d682BUY YES0.421$1,474
Apr 8, 05:03 PM0x4c5701bcSELL YES0.994$13.3K— (SELL)
Apr 6, 02:51 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.322$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 02:51 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.309$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 02:50 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.307$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 02:49 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.294$3,000Cheap band — no rep
Apr 6, 02:48 PM0x773abaa5BUY YES0.160$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 02:47 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.275$5,000Cheap band — no rep
Apr 6, 02:23 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.300$2,937Cheap band — no rep
Apr 6, 02:22 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.292$3,000Cheap band — no rep
Apr 6, 02:21 PM0x773abaa5BUY YES0.180$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 02:20 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.299$10.0KCheap band — no rep
Apr 6, 02:19 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.293$3,000Cheap band — no rep
Apr 6, 02:17 PM0x773abaa5BUY YES0.170$4,971Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 02:17 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY YES0.294$15.0KCheap band — no rep

Markets active in

13 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Other10$50.9K+$50.9K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Other8$47.6K+$47.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tech4$30.0K+$30.0K
0x4c5701bc1$13.3K$-13,324
0x773abaa53$7,971+$7,971
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Other3$5,496+$5,496
0x0214efd72$5,232+$5,232
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?Sports3$3,000+$3,000
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Other1$2,998+$2,998
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?Other1$1,953+$1,953
0x43c8d6821$1,474+$1,474
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Tech1$1,000+$1,000