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0x08386B9FCFfe893341Fa02D45d258154Ede
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x0838…63b1 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
19
lifetime
PnL per $
-25%
historical realized
Win rate
56.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$109.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 19 resolved trades · -25% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
24
Distinct markets
16
Volume (90d)
$122.9K
avg $5,120 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$101.7K / $21.2K
net direction
Recent trades
last 24 · 90d windowMarkets active in
16 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Other | 1 | $23.8K | +$23.8K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Other | 2 | $21.5K | $-1,295 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 1 | $12.0K | +$12.0K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Politics | 1 | $11.4K | +$11.4K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Other | 1 | $8,697 | +$8,697 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Crypto | 4 | $8,585 | +$1,971 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | Crypto | 1 | $7,882 | +$7,882 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 2 | $6,494 | +$6,494 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | Crypto | 2 | $4,651 | +$1,373 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Other | 1 | $4,000 | +$4,000 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | Crypto | 2 | $3,413 | $-549 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | Crypto | 1 | $3,032 | +$3,032 |
| 0x773abaa5 | — | 2 | $2,916 | +$673 |
| 0x36912c98 | — | 1 | $1,795 | $-1,795 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | Crypto | 1 | $1,677 | +$1,677 |
| 0xb48621f7 | — | 1 | $1,122 | +$1,122 |