LeftieFTW

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x066a…550d with our methodology badges per row.

0x066a7727f53124db18aa963f900bb95b36f7550d·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-38%

historical realized

Win rate

52.1%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$89.6K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 23 resolved trades · -38% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$158.3K

avg $4,166 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$89.7K / $68.6K

net direction

Recent trades

last 38 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 12, 09:19 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BUY NO	0.830	$7,810	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:30 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	SELL NO	0.950	$8,678	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 08:04 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BUY NO	0.779	$3,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:03 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	SELL NO	0.830	$2,905	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:48 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	SELL NO	0.840	$1,554	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 03:28 AM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	SELL NO	0.790	$1,975	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 03:27 AM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	BUY NO	0.850	$2,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 02:16 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL NO	0.840	$2,940	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 03:22 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BUY NO	0.800	$21.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:04 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.984	$1,153	— (SELL)
May 25, 09:49 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	BUY YES	0.800	$2,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:46 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.998	$4,893	— (SELL)
May 23, 01:52 PM	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	SELL YES	0.771	$1,927	— (SELL)
May 23, 04:39 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.852	$2,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:36 AM	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	SELL YES	0.820	$1,804	— (SELL)
May 23, 01:44 AM	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	BUY YES	0.820	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 07:04 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.957	$3,351	— (SELL)
May 21, 02:53 AM	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	BUY YES	0.783	$4,183	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 02:52 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.956	$5,355	— (SELL)
May 17, 02:38 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	BUY NO	0.965	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 12:40 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	BUY NO	0.964	$7,422	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 11:04 PM	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	BUY YES	0.774	$8,827	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:11 PM	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	SELL YES	0.950	$2,375	— (SELL)
May 16, 09:44 PM	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	BUY YES	0.760	$1,368	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 08:37 PM	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	BUY YES	0.360	$1,260	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 13, 04:07 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.945	$10.4K	— (SELL)
May 8, 04:33 PM	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY YES	0.240	$1,440	Cheap band — no rep
May 8, 04:32 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.950	$1,900	— (SELL)
May 1, 01:24 AM	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,029	— (SELL)
May 1, 01:22 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	BUY NO	0.900	$2,790	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:42 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	BUY NO	0.900	$5,850	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:41 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	SELL NO	0.994	$6,285	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 08:26 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	SELL NO	0.989	$4,945	— (SELL)
Apr 22, 12:08 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	BUY NO	0.938	$7,223	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 10:56 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	SELL NO	0.933	$2,333	— (SELL)
Apr 17, 02:50 PM	0x49131d36	SELL NO	0.995	$2,806	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 02:12 AM	0x49131d36	BUY NO	0.840	$1,260	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 02:17 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	BUY NO	0.930	$3,255	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

13 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Other	9	$39.7K	$-4,623
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Tech	4	$35.0K	+$29.1K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Other	5	$24.0K	$-3,086
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Tech	6	$21.1K	+$13.6K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Tech	2	$10.7K	$-10,653
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Other	2	$7,793	$-1,993
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	Tech	3	$7,434	$-1,484
0x49131d36	—	2	$4,066	$-1,546
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Other	1	$2,400	+$2,400
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Other	1	$2,375	$-2,375
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	1	$1,440	+$1,440
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Other	1	$1,260	+$1,260
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Tech	1	$1,029	$-1,029