| Jun 13, 02:41 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $41.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:41 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $4,774 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:38 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $65.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:38 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $175.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 11:18 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $5,226 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 01:15 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.972 | $9,720 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:02 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.917 | $31.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 05:02 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $22.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 05:02 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $16.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 09:52 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $28.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 06:44 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $8,481 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 06:43 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $80.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 06:43 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $47.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 06:42 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $47.5K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 02:01 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $2,790 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 01:32 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.920 | $27.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 20, 09:39 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $7,349 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 09:18 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $8,421 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 12:04 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $14.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 12:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $18.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 09:38 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.696 | $23.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 09:38 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $28.2K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 02:16 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $27.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 02:16 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $27.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 01:42 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $63.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 01:42 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $19.7K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 01:42 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $44.2K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 03:39 PM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY YES | 0.160 | $1,063 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 12, 10:01 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $1,062 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 5, 05:46 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $26.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 04:14 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.086 | $4,864 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 3, 07:56 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.340 | $11.9K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 2, 07:20 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $25.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 2, 07:19 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.370 | $9,515 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 2, 06:53 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.380 | $7,926 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 01:23 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.456 | $11.3K | —— |
| Apr 1, 12:46 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $5,509 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 12:43 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.440 | $6,223 | —— |
| Apr 1, 12:43 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $6,230 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 12:43 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.430 | $5,340 | —— |
| Apr 1, 12:42 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $5,340 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 12:16 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $2,621 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 03:08 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $21.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 07:09 PM | 0x306d10d4 | SELL NO | 0.795 | $21.9K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 25, 06:18 AM | 0x306d10d4 | BUY NO | 0.870 | $24.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 05:55 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 05:37 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $34.0K | — (SELL) |