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oilioili7
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x0294…138c with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
-4%
historical realized
Win rate
46.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$38.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · -4% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
14
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$65.7K
avg $4,695 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$27.6K / $38.1K
net direction
Recent trades
last 14 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 01:37 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.920 | $20.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:38 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $10.1K | — |
| Jun 12, 09:38 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.106 | $9,862 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 26, 02:00 PM | Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 | BUY YES | 0.566 | $2,221 | — |
| Apr 25, 10:58 AM | Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5 | BUY YES | 0.500 | $2,955 | — |
| Apr 25, 10:57 AM | Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5 | BUY YES | 0.500 | $2,600 | — |
| Apr 17, 04:20 PM | 0x7ff6e6c0 | BUY | 0.480 | $1,477 | — |
| Apr 14, 12:32 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.173 | $4,382 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 5, 04:08 PM | 0xad526d85 | SELL YES | 0.994 | $4,040 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 5, 03:03 PM | 0xad526d85 | BUY YES | 0.119 | $1,460 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 4, 03:31 PM | 0x55bc6fae | BUY YES | 0.999 | $1,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 04:15 PM | 0x7cc0de80 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,268 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 04:25 PM | 0x89f54bdb | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,303 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 03:09 PM | 0x89f54bdb | BUY YES | 0.890 | $1,384 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
10 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 2 | $30.8K | $-10,537 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $9,862 | $-9,862 |
| Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5 | Other | 2 | $5,555 | +$5,555 |
| 0xad526d85 | — | 2 | $5,500 | $-2,579 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $4,382 | +$4,382 |
| 0x89f54bdb | — | 2 | $3,687 | $-919 |
| Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 | Other | 1 | $2,221 | +$2,221 |
| 0x7ff6e6c0 | — | 1 | $1,477 | +$1,477 |
| 0x7cc0de80 | — | 1 | $1,268 | $-1,268 |
| 0x55bc6fae | — | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |