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keepbelieving

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x0221…ae79 with our methodology badges per row.

0x0221e2d951c807a84c49fea10b5435466514ae79·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
no rep computed yet
PnL per $
historical realized
Win rate
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. No reputation snapshot yet — wallet is new or hasn't traded enough resolved markets.

Trades (90d)
23
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$140.6K
avg $6,112 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$71.1K / $69.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 23 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 9, 10:16 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.084$8,102— (SELL)
Jun 9, 10:16 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.087$8,613— (SELL)
Jun 9, 10:15 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.100$7,050— (SELL)
Jun 9, 10:15 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.108$4,626— (SELL)
Jun 9, 10:14 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.109$6,945— (SELL)
Jun 9, 10:14 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.161$17.2K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 10:13 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.159$17.0K— (SELL)
May 4, 07:35 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY YES0.655$2,964Above conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 07:21 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY YES0.710$1,985Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 06:32 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.153$1,377Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 06:31 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.168$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 06:23 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.074$1,036Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 06:23 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.086$1,934Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 06:22 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.087$2,001Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 06:02 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$2,220Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 06:01 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.153$3,618Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 06:00 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.165$3,902Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 05:00 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.074$4,070Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 04:58 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.086$6,361Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 04:57 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.087$6,435Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 04:56 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$8,210Killed band — neutral expectation
May 3, 04:54 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.153$11.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 3, 04:53 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.165$12.2KKilled band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

7 markets · sorted by volume