| Jun 20, 09:25 PM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $2,383 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 01:57 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.807 | $7,530 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 01:55 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.811 | $3,734 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 01:37 PM | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $2,326 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 01:33 PM | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | BUY NO | 0.915 | $1,601 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:56 AM | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.531 | $1,361 | —— |
| Jun 12, 07:31 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $1,485 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:18 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL YES | 0.790 | $2,578 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:03 AM | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,994 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 10:58 PM | Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $1,001 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 10:28 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.798 | $1,138 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:41 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $25.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:18 PM | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL NO | 0.563 | $3,388 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:10 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | SELL YES | 0.941 | $1,516 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:01 PM | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL NO | 0.780 | $2,397 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:59 PM | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $3,236 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:42 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.785 | $25.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:36 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.100 | $1,215 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 08:29 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.785 | $8,716 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:28 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.785 | $16.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:15 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.785 | $3,924 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:14 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.785 | $7,850 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 07:26 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.967 | $1,395 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:54 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $6,007 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 03:55 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.957 | $2,516 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:48 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.949 | $1,633 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 06:56 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.894 | $8,054 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 04:40 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.894 | $3,105 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 12:20 PM | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,904 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:36 AM | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $2,074 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 07:54 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.898 | $1,228 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 06:15 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.898 | $3,473 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 09:30 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.899 | $7,415 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 05:00 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.882 | $6,966 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:55 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.948 | $7,404 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:54 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.948 | $9,480 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:21 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.881 | $4,070 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:07 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.879 | $5,425 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:22 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.881 | $7,886 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 06:04 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.967 | $2,827 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 12:51 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | SELL YES | 0.890 | $1,900 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 07:30 AM | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY YES | 0.712 | $2,137 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 07:16 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY YES | 0.919 | $2,088 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 04:55 PM | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.380 | $1,520 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 04:32 PM | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.845 | $1,113 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 02:23 PM | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $2,909 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:42 PM | Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY NO | 0.951 | $1,567 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:23 PM | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $2,221 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 05:23 AM | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.974 | $1,977 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 05:21 AM | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,444 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 09:37 PM | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY NO | 0.629 | $1,013 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 08:36 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY YES | 0.909 | $6,948 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 03:44 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.966 | $4,394 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 03:37 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL YES | 0.993 | $4,575 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 03:29 AM | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL NO | 0.562 | $1,259 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 09:23 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY YES | 0.924 | $7,561 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 05:54 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL YES | 0.989 | $2,926 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 08:57 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY YES | 0.943 | $2,218 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 07:57 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $5,840 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 07:34 PM | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $2,260 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 07:32 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY YES | 0.873 | $13.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:57 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $2,550 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 11:39 AM | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.944 | $7,834 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 10:29 PM | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $1,106 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 09:43 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY YES | 0.985 | $3,189 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 09:30 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $1,763 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:50 AM | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $1,790 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:49 AM | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $3,491 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 10:17 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $1,985 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 12:26 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $15.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 07:17 AM | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $3,385 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:34 PM | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $3,101 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:37 AM | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title? | BUY YES | 0.896 | $1,981 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 07:43 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY YES | 0.949 | $2,553 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 07:26 PM | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.701 | $1,432 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 10:51 PM | Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.953 | $1,207 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 10:45 PM | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $1,816 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 04:33 PM | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $1,007 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 04:25 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.380 | $2,085 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 04:24 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.380 | $1,292 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 02:21 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $5,315 | —— |
| May 30, 06:31 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY YES | 0.981 | $4,682 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:26 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $3,455 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 10:05 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $2,059 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 09:48 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $9,929 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 09:24 PM | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $3,977 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 12:44 PM | Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.867 | $2,134 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 08:56 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY YES | 0.985 | $2,418 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 08:31 AM | Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $1,929 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 08:17 AM | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.804 | $1,337 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 07:30 AM | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.945 | $1,247 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 06:56 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.772 | $2,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 10:39 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.979 | $5,735 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:54 PM | Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.933 | $5,121 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:21 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.779 | $1,599 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:19 PM | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $1,472 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 01:14 PM | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $1,228 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 12:14 PM | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $1,083 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 09:07 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY YES | 0.978 | $1,056 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 09:05 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $4,797 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 09:04 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $5,185 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 09:49 PM | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $1,511 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 06:31 AM | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $1,571 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 09:38 AM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.230 | $1,638 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 25, 08:09 PM | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,071 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 08:19 AM | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $1,676 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:26 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $1,681 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:19 AM | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.810 | $1,620 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 09:20 PM | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.928 | $2,366 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 02:55 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $1,705 | —— |
| May 22, 02:09 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $2,142 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 09:57 AM | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.967 | $1,123 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 09:37 AM | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $1,451 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 07:30 AM | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL NO | 0.962 | $1,859 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 03:07 PM | Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $5,240 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:31 PM | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $1,012 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:31 PM | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $5,063 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:07 PM | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $3,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 05:14 PM | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $2,029 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:49 AM | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $2,095 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 09:22 PM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.932 | $1,070 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 01:56 PM | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $1,853 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 12:40 PM | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $1,054 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 09:52 AM | Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,278 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:49 AM | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $1,247 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 10:42 PM | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,421 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 03:13 PM | Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $6,340 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 08:53 AM | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | BUY NO | 0.957 | $2,127 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 08:53 AM | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | BUY NO | 0.949 | $1,505 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 10:28 PM | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $1,426 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 10:27 PM | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $1,213 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 10:20 PM | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $1,202 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 10:18 PM | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $3,750 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 10:18 PM | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 09:46 PM | Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.962 | $3,972 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 09:06 PM | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.756 | $3,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 06:38 PM | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,707 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 06:37 PM | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 06:08 PM | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY YES | 0.456 | $1,607 | —— |
| May 16, 03:31 PM | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.915 | $1,757 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 02:38 PM | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.960 | $3,558 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 12:41 PM | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.933 | $1,777 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 11:27 PM | Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $1,764 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 11:24 PM | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,036 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 11:21 PM | Will Alex de Minaur win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,702 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 11:19 PM | Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,834 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 09:35 PM | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $1,298 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 04:12 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $1,058 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 09:13 AM | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.964 | $1,196 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 09:58 PM | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $7,111 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 09:56 PM | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $3,407 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 05:27 PM | Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY NO | 0.958 | $2,262 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 05:18 PM | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,164 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 05:17 PM | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | BUY NO | 0.962 | $2,719 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 10:59 AM | Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026? | BUY YES | 0.646 | $1,938 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 10:14 AM | Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026? | BUY YES | 0.622 | $1,232 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 08:10 AM | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,032 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 04:33 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.680 | $1,037 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 02:27 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.690 | $2,481 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 07:53 AM | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.959 | $1,284 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 04:49 PM | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $1,935 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 06:35 AM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.967 | $4,964 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 07:50 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $3,536 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 07:46 PM | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.953 | $3,653 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 01:32 PM | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.944 | $2,053 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 11:27 AM | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.944 | $1,484 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 07:45 AM | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.944 | $2,300 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 05:25 PM | Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.913 | $1,123 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 10:27 AM | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY NO | 0.934 | $10.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 10:00 AM | Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY NO | 0.958 | $2,114 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 09:10 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $5,862 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 04:46 AM | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL YES | 0.997 | $1,927 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 04:45 AM | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $1,310 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 04:29 AM | Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | BUY YES | 0.971 | $4,870 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 04:13 PM | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL YES | 0.996 | $1,767 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 03:56 PM | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL YES | 0.997 | $1,661 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 02:48 PM | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,662 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 09:23 AM | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY NO | 0.984 | $3,977 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 11:13 PM | Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $5,183 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 10:30 PM | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,715 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 03:24 PM | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL NO | 0.963 | $2,698 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 03:12 PM | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,588 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 02:37 PM | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,662 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 08:15 AM | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $3,320 | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 02:33 PM | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $1,439 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 09:22 AM | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,501 | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 09:19 AM | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,840 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 08:06 AM | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $1,154 | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 07:53 AM | Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $1,142 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 07:20 AM | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $2,129 | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 09:11 PM | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $4,316 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 05:56 PM | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $1,016 | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 12:51 PM | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $2,158 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 08:58 PM | Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $1,174 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 11:18 AM | Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $1,135 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 07:20 AM | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY NO | 0.850 | $1,972 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 11:35 PM | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $2,275 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 09:05 PM | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $1,749 | — (SELL) |
| May 2, 08:50 PM | Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,712 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 09:12 AM | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY NO | 0.909 | $1,537 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |